Two years ago, the National Intelligence Council (NIC) of the United States released a report titled "Global Trends 2040: A More Competitive World. The report envisions five scenarios for the future world, one of which is called 'world island splitting'. World islanding: In short, the world is divided into several economic and security blocs of different sizes and strengths, centered around the United States, China, the European Union, Russia, and several regional powers, with a focus on self-sufficiency, resilience, and defense. Information flows within independent network sovereign enclaves, supply chains are repositioned, and international trade is disrupted. Fragile developing countries are caught in the middle, with some on the brink of failure. To be honest, we don't have to wait until 2040. In the past two years, the feeling of isolated fragmentation has become increasingly apparent. The other four scenarios for reporting the future world are: 1. The world of democratic revival - the world is in the midst of the revival of open democratic regimes led by the United States and its allies; Economic growth and technological progress will be able to address global challenges, ease social divisions, and restore public trust in democratic institutions; Innovation in China and Russia has stagnated, and scientists and entrepreneurs have sought refuge in the United States and Europe. 2. The drifting world - the international system is directionless, chaotic, and unstable because international rules and institutions are largely ignored by major powers such as China, regional actors, and non-state actors. China continues to expand its international influence, especially in Asia, but lacks the willingness and military strength to assume global leadership, resulting in many global challenges remaining largely unresolved. 3. In a world of competitive coexistence, the United States and China prioritize economic growth and have restored strong trade relations. Economic interdependence coexists with competition for political influence, governance models, technological advantages, and strategic advantages. The risk of major wars is low, and international cooperation and technological innovation make global issues manageable in the short term, but long-term climate challenges still exist. 4. Tragedy and Mobilization in the World - A global alliance led by the European Union and China, in collaboration with non-governmental organizations and multilateral institutions, is implementing far-reaching changes aimed at addressing climate change, resource depletion, and poverty in the aftermath of global food disasters caused by climate events and environmental degradation.