Based on the policy impact since Trump took office and recent market trends, the following is an analysis and response strategy for the cryptocurrency market: After Trump took office, he promoted pro crypto policies, which stimulated market sentiment in the short term, and Bitcoin once surpassed $109000. However, the details of policy implementation are unclear, coupled with macroeconomic uncertainty, and the market has experienced a pullback after "good news realization", fluctuating between 83000-90000 US dollars recently. Market characteristics Shake adjustment: Funds are withdrawn from altcoins and concentrated in top assets such as Bitcoin. Emotional differentiation: Policy optimism and economic concerns coexist, with a strong wait-and-see sentiment. According to user feedback on X, some investors suggest holding Bitcoin during the decline to reduce their exposure to weak altcoins. Response strategy Short term (1-3 months) Watch and see: The current market volatility is high, and panic has not completely subsided. Suggest waiting for clear signals and focusing on strong assets. Bitcoin: With the strongest consensus, it is suitable as a core position and can be built in batches when it drops to 78000-80000. Subject coins: Meme coins or AI related tokens, may have short-term opportunities, small positions may buy low, do not chase high positions. risk management Set a stop loss point (such as reducing positions when Bitcoin falls below 78000), and ensure that the position matches the financial strength to avoid imbalance due to floating losses. Mid term (3-6 months) Policy driven opportunities: Focus on key events such as the White House crypto conference on March 7th. If Trump fulfills regulatory easing or reserve plans, Bitcoin may return to 100000-120000. At that time, we can gradually increase our holdings of top assets and take profits in batches during the rise. If the global economy deteriorates (such as the expectation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates heating up), the market may drop by 60000-70000. Prepare reserve funds, increase positions at lower levels, and monitor on chain data (such as trends in large cryptocurrency hoarding) to verify the bottom. Long term (over 6 months) Structural opportunity: If the United States becomes the 'crypto capital', institutional funds will continue to flow in, with Bitcoin and Ethereum potentially benefiting the most. Shanzhai coins need to be wary of differentiation, and low-quality projects may be eliminated. Macro hedging: The cryptocurrency market is still influenced by traditional financial cycles, and attention should be paid to the movements of the Federal Reserve and the US dollar to flexibly adjust position ratios. In short, it is advisable to seek progress while maintaining stability, with Bitcoin as the core, to grasp policy dividends, while being cautious of external risks