Prediction markets no longer see 150,000 Bitcoin in 2025: Markets now see Bitcoin rising to 124,000 as the base case for 2025, down 25,000 since January, per @Kalshi. Furthermore, markets now see just a 36% chance of Bitcoin hitting 150,000 this year. 1 month ago, prediction markets saw a 40% chance of Bitcoin hitting 150,000 by July. This is the largest drop in expectations in over 6 months.