I've been a bit tired lately. I accidentally fell asleep in the afternoon and woke up to find that the situation wasn't very good. First of all, there wasn't a strong rebound during the main time in the United States, and then the US stock market was also falling, even the US dollar and gold were falling. This mood is really bad. The main problem now is that there is no clear reason for the decline, such as the DeepSeek that appeared last time, or macro data, or tariffs, and there is no clear "statement" that is responsible for the decline. Because of this, it is difficult to determine where the price will fall and what price will start to rebound. So my personal view is to see if we can stop the decline tonight. It is estimated that Americans are also depressed about the current decline. Especially in the recent two days, many investors have more panic about the large number of spot ETFs shipped by BTC and ETH. In fact, 2025 will be a very difficult time as the probability of a black swan appearing under high interest rates will increase significantly. However, I still believe that there is a chance in Q1, although this is only my personal opinion. If I am pessimistic about the market, my concept has always been that the market may gradually become unfavorable from Q2 onwards. There should still be some opportunities in Q1, and the opportunity in Q2 is entirely invested in strategic reserves, but the macro situation should be unfavorable. After checking the BTC futures on CME, there is a gap between $92755 and $93570, and below it is a gap between $77930 and $80670. According to mystical theory, both gaps will be filled, but personally, it is difficult for me to imagine the possibility of falling below $80000. Therefore, the probability of filling up may be higher, especially with the release of core PCE data on Friday. If this data is good, it is likely to boost user sentiment. This tweet is sponsored by @ ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With Apex