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Miles Deutscher|Feb 19, 2025 21:00
Even for long-term positions, I always use technicals to invalidate if needed.
Conviction doesn’t mean ignoring invalidation levels. If a key level breaks, I cut a percentage. If it reclaims, I reassess.
Every buy must have a clear invalidation. No catching knives. No blindly holding just because it’s a “long-term play.”
The key difference is differentiating whether a trade is short-term vs. long-term.
For short-term trades, I have a plan to go 100% in and out.
For long-term positions I never *fully* exit, I trim based on conviction:
• High conviction: Invalidate 30%
• Mid conviction: 40–50%
• Lower conviction: 60%
Risk management isn’t about selling everything. It’s about knowing when to reduce exposure and when to go risk on.
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