
Caleb Franzen|Feb 17, 2025 11:04
Don't expect any rate cuts.
Why?
In 2023 & H1 2024, I said that rate cuts weren't coming b/c the 3M Treasury yield was above EFFR. That was the right interpretation until Jul.'24 when the 3M yield fell below the EFFR & the Fed cut just 2 months later!
They are currently equal.
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