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The Kobeissi Letter|Feb 14, 2025 00:31
BREAKING: Prediction markets now see a 23% chance of rate HIKES returning in 2025, per @Kalshi.
This comes after CPI inflation marked its largest month-over-month increase since August 2023, at +0.5%.
Today, PPI inflation unexpectedly jumped to its highest since February 2023, at 3.5%.
Meanwhile, the base case now shows interest rate cuts not beginning until at least September 2025.
Is higher for longer back?
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