Probability of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025-26: When will new liquidity be brought to the cryptocurrency market? First interest rate cut (probability 61.8%): June 18, 2025 Second interest rate cut (probability 58.5%): January 28, 2026 Third interest rate cut (probability 55%): December 9, 2026 The above are the current probabilities, which will continue to change as more data is released.