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DC大于C|Feb 07, 2025 04:47
Tonight's unemployment rate and non farm payroll data once again stimulate emotions
Especially today is still Friday, and liquidity will be sluggish starting tomorrow during the day. Fortunately, there was no major risk aversion before the announcement. At present, the price fluctuation of BTC is still good.
The unemployment rate is in line with or slightly higher than expectations, such as 4.1 or 4.2, and the non farm payroll is in line with or slightly lower than expectations, which is positive for the market and conducive to the expectation of interest rate cuts
The unemployment rate is in line with or slightly higher than expectations, such as 4.1 or 4.2, and the non farm payroll is 17% higher than expected. Although there is no positive news from the above situation, it is not necessarily negative.
The unemployment rate is much higher than expected, such as 4.3, and the non-agricultural sector is much lower than expected, such as below 10 (depending on the specific value), which is bearish for the market. The market may once again worry about recession expectations.
The unemployment rate is lower than expected, less than 4.1, and the non farm payroll is in line with or slightly lower than the expected 17, indicating a slight positive sentiment and not considered negative.
The unemployment rate is lower than expected, less than 4.1, and the non farm payroll is higher than expected by 17, indicating that the economy is still good. It is not conducive to the expectation of interest rate cuts, nor is it a negative impact,
The above is a speculation about the impact of various data with different published values on the market. As long as there is no speculation about recession expectations, it is actually okay. As for whether to cut interest rates in March or not, and whether the speech can be dovish, there is still more than a month before the 3.20 interest rate meeting, and the more important data is actually next month.
Predicting the market is a technical task. Next, it depends on how the US stock market views this sentiment at the opening of the evening, DYOR
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