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Adam@Greeks.live|Jan 26, 2025 11:51
A must-have for Bitcoin investment, get a sneak peek at this week's major events (1/27-2/2)
The Lunar New Year is approaching, and the influence of Chinese language users on the market will briefly decrease this week. There are many important macroeconomic data this week, and although Trump has repeatedly issued orders on economic policies in his first week in office, the probability of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates this week is still as high as 98%. This Thursday, both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank will release interest rate decisions and related reports, which is worth paying attention to. Japan's interest rate hike boots have landed, and the eurozone is likely to continue to cut interest rates. The market expectations are relatively consistent. The market uncertainty has significantly decreased, and the main term IV has significantly decreased.
The new EU regulations require cryptocurrency exchanges to comply with travel rules guidelines, strengthen anti money laundering measures, and Deribit and other exchanges need to improve KYC before they can be used normally.
🌟 This week's major events:
Wednesday, January 29th
💼 Bank of Canada announces interest rate decision and monetary policy report (22:45)
1/30 Thursday
💼 Federal Reserve Rate Decision (05:30)
💼 Eurozone European Central Bank Deposit Facility interest rate (21:15)
💼 Number of initial jobless claims for the week in the United States (21:30)
1/31 Friday
💼 Core PCE Price Index for December in the United States (21:30)
📌 Outlook for the Cryptocurrency Market:
Bitcoin continues to fluctuate above $100000, and the market triggered by last week's Trump meme has entered a cooling off period. Market attention has become more scattered, and the frenzy in the market is gradually fading away.
In terms of options, the short-term IV has significantly decreased, with the weekly average IV falling below 55% and the full term average IV below 60%. The market has not realized the uncertainty. Recently, there have been many transactions of bulk call options, and after the boots landed, institutions began to increase their holdings and sell positions in large quantities.
📌 In terms of the cryptocurrency interest rate market, the Bitfinex interest rate market has been relatively stable recently, and orders with suitable interest rates can be actively traded, especially when there is a market trend that deserves special attention.
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