⚡️History does not repeat itself.

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11 hours ago

⚡️History does not repeat itself, but data shows that when the US Dollar Index falls below 100, it often marks the starting point for a #Bitcoin surge—

-- April 2017: DXY fell below 100, and Bitcoin rose from about $1,200 to $17,600, an increase of over 1,300%.

-- May 2020: DXY fell below 100 again, and Bitcoin rose from about $9,500 to $57,500, an increase of about 500%.

-- November 2022: DXY dropped significantly, and Bitcoin rose from about $15,500 to $69,000, an increase of over 300%.

All three rounds exhibit the logic of “Dollar depreciation → Bitcoin upward movement.”

While we cannot mechanically seek solutions, a dollar below 100 may be seen as a signal for a cycle switch:

Current market liquidity expectations are improving + the ETF effect has not yet fully materialized + the cycle is entering a recovery phase, there is a probability space for Bitcoin to experience another strong upward movement.

From an asset allocation perspective, three suggestions:

✅ Continue dollar-cost averaging but do not chase highs; the cycle is not over, the structure is not at its peak, but prices are no longer cheap, so maintain a mindset of “slow is fast.”

✅ Continue to reserve a safety margin of 20-30% in USDT.

✅ Pay attention to opportunities in “sector rotation.”

Image From: Jinshi

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