In fact, there are still some discussable points regarding this matter:
- A single piece of news has pushed $BTC up to nearly $81,000.
This indicates that there is still money in the market, and it also shows that investors' panic over tariffs is at least worth $4,000 of BTC. Additionally, it reflects the market's expectation for a rebound, even though it has now been proven that the news was false, Bitcoin's price has still strengthened somewhat.
- Currently, the short-term market may not be influenced by macro, technical, or data factors; the probability of being driven by events is the highest.
This situation is quite similar to the BlackRock Bitcoin spot ETF situation in 2023, where incorrect news was released first, yet the market remained enthusiastic. Could this also be a game of the market regarding tariff policies?
- Exercise caution with high-leverage one-sided contracts; based on points 1 and 2, the difficulty of trading in the market will be very high.
Today in Space, it was mentioned that the difficulty in April is primarily not due to one-sided market trends, but because of too many uncertainties: uncertainty regarding tariffs, uncertainty from the Federal Reserve, economic uncertainty, and uncertainty surrounding Trump, all of which will increase the difficulty of trading in the market.
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