4.7 Bitcoin Big Bear: "280,000 People Liquidated 900 Million! After Bitcoin's Flash Crash to 77,000, Long and Short Battle: Buy the Dip or Escape?"

CN
9 days ago

Contract Military Regulations:

Article 1: No chasing highs or cutting losses

Article 2: Always set take profit and stop loss when opening a position

Article 3: Do not operate with a full position

Article 4: Do not operate against the trend

Article 5: No emotional trading

  1. Mastering simple techniques to perfection is the ultimate skill; strict execution according to the system without deviation is our ultimate ability to make money.
  2. Lessons are bought with money; if you do not fully adhere to the system in trading, the most direct result is losing your money. Only by trading according to the system can you minimize losses and maximize profits.
  3. The most effective strategy is to focus on and persist with a good trading system.

I. Market Status

(1) Last night's crash data ▸ Bitcoin fell to around $77,000 ▸ Ethereum plummeted to $1,535 ▸ In the last 24 hours, over 286,600 people were liquidated globally, with amounts exceeding $900 million

(2) Current phase judgment ▸ This crash is nearing its end ▸ The market has entered a consolidation and recovery period (expected to last 1 week) ▸ Short-term trading window has opened

Seize opportunities in the consolidation range; during the market recovery period, avoid chasing highs or cutting losses. Patiently wait for prices to reach the boundaries of the range before taking action. "The current market is in a downward continuation and technical recovery phase. Before the daily MACD forms a golden cross, all rebounds should only be viewed as short-term opportunities."

II. Today's Trading Strategy (15-minute level)

Bitcoin: ▸ Volatility range: $77,000 - $79,000 ▸ Trading method: Buy near $77,000, sell near $79,000

Ethereum: ▸ Volatility range: $1,530 - $1,600 ▸ Trading method: Buy near $1,530, sell near $1,600 (based on real-time trading strategy)

  1. MACD Daily Volume Expansion

    • Bitcoin/Ethereum daily MACD histogram continues to expand (below the zero axis), bearish momentum is still being released

    • However, the slope of the histogram is flattening, the speed of the decline is weakening, and potential bottom divergence signals need to be monitored.

  2. RSI Oversold Signal

    • Bitcoin daily RSI 42 → Ethereum RSI 39 (approaching the 30 oversold zone)

    • Short-term rebound probability increases, but must be confirmed with volume.


III. Core Strategy for This Week (Focus on Three Major Ranges)

(1) Bitcoin

① First Range (Baseline Scenario) ▸ $77,000 - $79,000 consolidation ▸ Reverse operations at the upper and lower edges of the range

② Second Range (Downward Break) ▸ If it breaks below $77,000, look for $75,000 - $77,000 ▸ Need to confirm a valid break below the previous low before entering

③ Third Range (Upward Break) ▸ If it breaks above $80,000, look for $80,000 - $82,000 ▸ Need to stabilize above $80,000 before following up

(2) Ethereum

① First Range (Basic Consolidation) ▸ $1,520 - $1,600 box ▸ Execute buy and sell operations at the upper and lower edges

② Second Range (Extreme Decline) ▸ If it breaks below $1,500, look for $1,450 - $1,520 ▸ Beware of violent decline risks

③ Third Range (Strong Rebound) ▸ Break above $1,600, look for $1,600 - $1,680 ▸ Pay attention to rapid fluctuations

(Note: The above ranges are based on the community's real-time trading strategy. All market analysis requires independent foresight to ensure smooth operations.)

(Note: 📣 Due to the limited timeliness and depth of information on public platforms, the market changes rapidly. Key turning points, precise trading strategies, and sudden risk alerts need to be synchronized in real-time on (public account - Big Bear). Here, you can obtain: real-time strategy push, in-depth analysis support, interactive Q&A, risk warnings, and optimization suggestions for personal holdings. 🚨 Remember: The market always rewards those who act faster and have more accurate information! Be a winner among the minority.)

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