Betting on China will be one of the best investment choices! Ten days before Trump's tariffs on April 2, China held a high-profile 'China Development Forum', where many CEOs of globally renowned companies attended (as shown in the images below). Essentially, this was a Plan B to address the uncertainty of tariffs.
The world economy can be simplified into three stages: raw materials - production - consumption. Raw materials are mainly controlled by countries like Russia, the Middle East, and Australia; production mainly comes from China; and consumption mainly comes from the United States and Europe. Previously, the U.S. focused on shale gas and conflicts in the Middle East to suppress the energy raw materials stage; now, with tariffs, the focus is on suppressing the production stage. As Trump said, the U.S. has been at a disadvantage in these two stages while others have profited. The U.S. is now betting on AI and humanoid robots, essentially hoping to achieve automation in the production stage to ultimately gain profits from the production end. The U.S. also aims to take Greenland and make Canada the 51st state, essentially hoping to acquire more raw material resources. Ultimately, the goal is to unify raw materials, production, and consumption, monopolizing profits.
This calculation is clear to anyone with insight; think tanks in various countries are not foolish and will not allow themselves to be exploited. Currently, China is in a position to win by doing nothing, as major players in raw materials and consumption are coming to Beijing for meetings. What does this signify? It is evident that, given the severe inflation, keeping money idle is like holding worthless paper. Investment is investment, and investing in China may be relatively more secure, as China's policy stability remains consistent. As long as the leadership remains unchanged, policy continuity can be guaranteed. The Chinese market is large, with two peaks; if not choosing the U.S., the only option is China. With a large population base, well-developed infrastructure, and reliable land and maritime transport, the Belt and Road Initiative also provides additional benefits. It’s a win-win situation, so why not?
Going long on China is one of the best investment strategies of the Trump era! 🧐
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