Life is like a cup of tea; only by savoring it can one appreciate its true flavor. Learn to: like lightly, love quietly, think deeply, and let go gently. When you first choose to be strong, you must think clearly: are you ready to bear everything? Because once you choose to be strong, even if it's just pretending, you must persist. Your past strength will lead others to believe that you can endure even the greatest pain.

The tariff policy was finally announced in the early morning, and the Bitcoin market followed with a wave of both long and short positions, first rising to around 88,500, then quickly dropping 6,000 points to around 82,300, causing severe fluctuations in a short time. In terms of operations, yesterday's prediction was to layout short positions, entering the market near 85,000, with a stop loss at 86,000. As the market continued to rise from the afternoon yesterday, this position was inevitably stopped out. It was also emphasized yesterday that if the market broke upwards, we would continue to layout high shorts in the 88,500 area. Thanks to the influence of news, it provided a good entry point. Currently, there is still nearly 5,000 points of profit space in this high short position, which has allowed us to recover all previous losses and even make a profit, resulting in a good outcome in grasping this high point. It is clear that if the bulls can stand above 88,000, it indicates a change in trend. However, due to the influence of the news, false breakouts can easily occur, and since the tariff policy is ultimately considered bearish, a further drop is quite normal.

First, let's talk about the tariff policy. The market had anticipated that the tariff policy would be better than expected for the past two days, so the market had been rebounding upwards. When the tariff was announced in the early morning, it was initially stated that the reciprocal tariff would be 10%, and the market immediately reacted, causing a short-term rise to above 88,000, with U.S. stocks also increasing. However, the situation changed, especially regarding the tariff policy for East Asia. The reciprocal tariffs are: China's tariff is 34%, Japan's is 24%, the EU's is 20%, Vietnam's is 46%, India's is 26%, and Cambodia's is 49%. This replaces the generally applicable 10% tariff (for major trading partners) and will take effect on April 9—leaving time for some last-minute negotiations. U.S. stock index futures fell sharply after hours, with Nasdaq futures down over 2% and S&P 500 futures down 1.5%. Overall, the tariff policy has a clear short-term bearish impact, but it also provides time for negotiations. Before April 9, there may be other variables, whether other countries will compromise or if the trade war will escalate, which needs attention.

On the market, after a rapid rise yesterday, there was a quick drop, and it is currently in a state of oversold rebound, with the coin price running above 83,000. On the daily chart, the continuous bullish trend has been blocked, and the MACD bullish volume bars on the daily chart are shrinking again, indicating an expectation of a daily level market adjustment and repair, which needs attention. Currently, the daily level short-term resistance is in the 84,000-85,000 area. Looking at the four-hour chart, after this wave of decline, it has entered the early stage of a bearish cycle, with a large bearish candle ending the previous continuous upward trend. In the short term, after the rapid decline, market sentiment is still influenced by concerns over the tariff policy, leading to panic behavior. In the short term, it is quite difficult for the bulls to quickly recover. Technically, the short-term structure is a bearish market, with moving averages starting to turn down, putting pressure on the market. We need to test the support below, with the key being whether the previous repeatedly tested position of 81,000 can hold. Once it breaks, the situation could worsen, and it would be hard to predict where the low point will go.

In terms of operations, we will still focus on short positions. Layout can be made around 83,800, with additional positions at 84,800, stop loss at 85,500, and target at 81,000, extending to 79,000-78,000. Long positions will be arranged in real-time. Ethereum is not being considered for now.

Additionally, starting tomorrow, it will be the Qingming Festival, and I will be returning to my hometown. During this traditional holiday, taking advantage of the break and the good weather, I will go out for spring outings and ancestor worship, so there will be no updates to the article. If you have any questions related to the market, feel free to message me.

【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risks yourself. The article is subject to review and publication, and market changes in real-time may lead to delays in information. Specific operations should be based on real-time strategies. Everyone is welcome to contact and discuss the market.】

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