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Yesterday's Crypto Market Analysis: Fluctuations Continue, Long and Short Strategy Revalidated
4.1 Market Analysis, Key Signals, and Intraday Operation Guide
I. Review of Yesterday's Market: Fluctuations Continue, Strategy Perfectly Realized
Market Performance
Bitcoin (BTC): Minimal fluctuations during the day, with prices oscillating narrowly between $81,500 and $83,500, completely consistent with yesterday's prediction of a "repair market."
Ethereum (ETH): Repeatedly consolidated around $1,800 to $1,840, failing to break through the key resistance level, in line with the expectation of "fluctuating and bottoming out."
2. Community Strategy Validation
Successful Long Position at the Bottom: Yesterday, it was suggested to gradually buy Bitcoin around $81,400 and Ethereum around $1,780, taking profits early as it rebounded to resistance levels (Bitcoin $83,800, Ethereum $1,835).
Short Position at Resistance: After the rebound faced resistance, a decisive short position was opened, once again capturing profits from the fluctuation range, demonstrating the effectiveness of the long and short strategy.
Summary: The market is still in the "fluctuation washout" phase, and high selling and low buying is currently the optimal solution.
II. Key Technical Signals: Doji Star Indicates a Change in Trend is Near
Core Indicators at Daily Level
Candlestick Pattern: Two consecutive days of "Doji Star" indicate a temporary balance of long and short forces, with a change window approaching (direction needs to be confirmed with volume).
Bollinger Bands: Three lines are parallel and the opening is narrowing, with prices running close to the lower band, and strong support below (Bitcoin $80,000, Ethereum $1,760 as the bottom line).
MACD & RSI:
MACD double lines are still below the zero axis, but the green bars continue to shrink, indicating a decline in bearish momentum;
RSI is nearing oversold, market sentiment is neutral, and there is a lack of unilateral driving force in the short term.
Expectation of Expanded Fluctuation Range (Daily Level)
Bitcoin: If fluctuations continue, it may expand to a wide range of $80,000 to $88,000 in the future (reference range for medium to long-term layout).
Ethereum: The fluctuation range may move up to $1,780 to $2,040, with attention needed on the psychological level of $2,000.
III. Operational Thoughts: Keep a Close Eye on the Range, Respond Flexibly
Strategy for Medium to Long-term Investors
Layout Logic: Gradually accumulate positions in a wide fluctuation to build momentum for a trend reversal.
Specific Operations:
Bitcoin: Gradually build positions in the $80,000 to $82,000 range, stop loss below $80,000; target towards $85,000 to $88,000.
Ethereum: Gradually buy in the $1,780 to $1,810 range, stop loss below $1,760; reduce positions in batches as it rebounds to $1,960 to $2,000.
Position Suggestion: Keep positions within 30% to prevent extreme market conditions.
2. Intraday Short-term Trading Strategy
Bitcoin:
Long: Can enter in batches below $82,000, hold if it does not break below $80,000, target above $83,000.
Short: Test short positions at $83,500 to $83,800, hold if it does not break above $84,500, target below $82,000.
Ethereum:
Long: Can enter in batches with fluctuations of $10 around $1,800, hold if it does not break below $1,760, target above $1,830.
Short: Test short positions in batches at $1,840 to $1,860, hold if it does not break above $1,880, target below $1,820.
Note: Be cautious of news interference: Weekend market liquidity is low, whale movements or policy rumors may amplify fluctuations, avoid heavy overnight positions.
Conclusion: In a fluctuating market, patience is more important than technique! Hold key positions, strictly take profits and stop losses, and wait for the market to choose a direction before increasing positions. The bull market is not over, but the washout in the middle will eliminate most people—stay calm, and you will be the winner!
(Note: 📣 Due to the limited timeliness and depth of information on public platforms, the market changes rapidly. Key turning points, precise operational strategies, and sudden risk alerts need to be synchronized in real-time on (public account - Big Bear). Here, you can obtain: real-time strategy push, in-depth analysis support, interactive Q&A, risk warnings, and optimization suggestions for personal holdings. 🚨 Remember: The market always rewards those who act faster and have more accurate information! Be a winner among the minority.)
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