【Impact of the Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decision on Financial Markets】

Overnight, the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, keeping the benchmark interest rate unchanged. At the same time, the Federal Reserve conducted an in-depth assessment of the potential reshaping effects on the economic outlook due to a series of changes in trade, immigration, fiscal spending, and tax policies under the Trump administration. Recently, frequent news of federal government spending cuts and increased tariffs has significantly impacted consumer confidence, leading to a sharp decline. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell clearly stated at Wednesday's press conference: "At this moment, waiting for the situation to become clearer is a more appropriate strategy." Powell did not show a more aggressive response to the potential price increases caused by tariffs, which greatly boosted investor confidence. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.9%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices both rose over 1%, and the cryptocurrency market also experienced a broad rebound.

【Bitcoin Market Review and Outlook】

Overnight, the cryptocurrency market displayed an increasingly intense tug-of-war between bulls and bears. In the early hours, Bitcoin successfully broke through the 85,000 mark, followed by the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. As expected by the market, the unchanged interest rate policy triggered a bearish effect in the short term, causing Bitcoin's price to quickly pull back to around 83,500, but effective support was formed at this price level. Subsequently, Powell's speech released dovish signals, driving Bitcoin's price to rise in a stepwise manner, quickly approaching the 87,000 resistance area, perfectly illustrating the typical "buy the expectation, sell the news" market behavior. Analyzing from a daily chart perspective, after Bitcoin's price broke through the mid-band resistance, the red momentum bars in the MACD indicator continued to expand, clearly showing that the bulls hold a significant advantage. Currently, the historical strong resistance area of 89,000 - 90,000 is worth close attention, as this area has accumulated a large number of institutional hedging positions, which could likely become a turning point for the bulls and bears in the short term. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing and flattening, indicating that the market has entered a critical period for directional decision-making, and it is expected to maintain a volatile upward pattern during the day. However, it should be noted that during this round of Bitcoin price increase, there has not been an effective pullback confirmation, and there is a technical repair demand at the hourly level. It is recommended to focus on the support range of 84,500 - 85,300.

Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

In terms of Ethereum, the upward momentum is relatively weak. After reaching a peak of 2,069, the upward trend gradually slowed down. Due to the need for a certain amount of time for technical indicators to correct, there is a demand for the market to enter an adjustment period in the short term. The specific form of adjustment may involve sideways consolidation in the high range or a pullback adjustment, which mainly depends on the overall dynamic changes in the market. Currently, the short-term trend of the market is leaning downward, and it is highly likely to be accompanied by multiple peaks and pullbacks. Although a pullback trend has emerged, it is not a one-sided downward trend; the overall trend will show a state of frequent back-and-forth. In the short cycle, attention should be focused on the pullback trend. If there is another rebound, caution should be exercised regarding the further expansion of the pullback magnitude. The morning and intraday trading strategy can first focus on the pullback adjustment situation, and then look for opportunities to seize a second peak.

If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the market, don’t know when to enter, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increase positions, get stuck while trying to catch the bottom, can’t hold onto profits, miss market opportunities… these are common problems for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeated failures. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike accurately, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. Market conditions change rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.

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