Financial Market Overnight Dynamics and Cryptocurrency Trend Analysis Report

I. Performance of the US Stock Market

Overnight, the three major US stock indices collectively closed higher, demonstrating a strong upward trend. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 1.14%, the Nasdaq climbed 1.46%, and the S&P 500 recorded a growth of 1.12%. Large technology stocks surged across the board, becoming the core driving force behind the index's rise. Microsoft’s stock price increased significantly by over 3%, while tech giants such as Tesla, Amazon, Meta, and Broadcom all saw gains exceeding 2%, highlighting the strong performance of the technology sector in the current market environment.

In terms of sector rotation, the cryptocurrency-related sector, airline sector, and precious metals and mining sector led the gains. Strategy's stock price soared by over 12%, Hecla Mining rose by more than 7%, JetBlue Airways increased by over 6%, and both American Airlines and Southern Copper saw gains exceeding 5%. C-base rose by over 4%. The outstanding performance of these sectors reflects the market's capital flow preferences. In stark contrast, the oil and gas sector showed sluggish performance, with Marathon Oil's stock price dropping over 5%, Occidental Petroleum falling over 2%, and ConocoPhillips and ExxonMobil nearing a 2% decline, indicating significant downward pressure on this sector in the current market.

II. Cryptocurrency Market Trends

(1) Bitcoin

During the late trading session, Bitcoin's price briefly dipped to the 87550 level, then quickly rebounded to 91000, demonstrating strong resilience and bullish counterattack strength. From a short-term technical chart analysis, its trend shows a clear upward consolidation pattern. In the 4-hour candlestick chart, Bitcoin has rebounded from a previous low of 81500, and although there have been some pullbacks during this process, the bulls have maintained control, continuously recovering lost ground, with the price now firmly above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. Various technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are showing typical bullish divergence, indicating that there is still potential for upward momentum in the short term. However, it is worth noting that the Bollinger Bands are currently in a sideways consolidation phase, with the candlesticks oscillating around the middle band near 88000, and the 91000 - 92200 range forming significant resistance. Overall, Bitcoin's price is fluctuating within a wide range, with both bulls and bears in a stalemate, and no substantial breakthrough has been achieved. In this range-bound pattern, investors may consider adopting a range-bound trading strategy to capitalize on price fluctuations. Given the limited expected market volatility for the day, the non-farm payroll data to be released on Friday may become a key variable to break the current market deadlock, allowing investors to formulate refined short-term trading strategies based on clearly defined short-term resistance and support levels.

(2) Ethereum

Ethereum surged strongly from a low of 2160 during the early hours to a high of 2250 and is currently in a price correction phase. Although the price has rebounded, the overall rebound is relatively limited, and the bulls continue to face a certain degree of resistance during their upward attempts. Observing the 4-hour candlestick chart, the bulls have consistently produced bullish candlesticks, showing a steady upward posture, but have not yet successfully broken through the key resistance level above. The Bollinger Bands moving average system shows signs of opening upward, indicating that bullish forces in the market are gradually accumulating. On the hourly chart, the bulls are steadily pushing prices higher with small bullish candlesticks, and bullish momentum continues to be released, with no significant pullback after the highs, indicating that the current market is in a strong consolidation phase. From a short-term perspective, after moderate correction, the Ethereum market is expected to continue its strong pattern, with a high probability of upward movement in the future.

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