March 3, 2025 Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana Market Strategy Analysis Report
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1. Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis
1. Technical Interpretation
· Daily Level: Bitcoin closed with a large bullish candle on March 2, breaking through the MA120 moving average (USD 95,600), indicating a strong return of bulls. However, the current price is facing resistance around USD 93,500, forming short-term pressure.
· 4-Hour Level: After breaking through the MA120, a solid green candlestick was formed, but signs of stagnation appeared afterward. The RSI is close to the overbought area, and the MACD histogram is shortening, suggesting a demand for short-term correction.
· 1-Hour Level: The price entered a consolidation phase after crossing the MA256, with key support located in the USD 90,500-89,000 range.
2. News-Driven Factors
· U.S. Strategic Reserve Policy: Trump announced the inclusion of Bitcoin in the national cryptocurrency strategic reserve and plans to hold the first White House cryptocurrency summit on March 7, with market expectations that the long-term purchasing plan will support prices.
· ETF Dynamics: BlackRock's IBIT ETF trading volume reached USD 5.1 billion. If Bitcoin falls below the USD 73,000 support level, it may trigger institutional selling pressure.
3. Operational Strategy
· Short-Term: Light short position at USD 93,300, add to the position on a rebound to USD 94,300, target USD 90,500.
· Medium to Long-Term: Gradually build long positions in the USD 90,500-89,000 range, targeting above USD 93,000.
2. Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis
1. Technical Interpretation
· Daily Level: The price pierced the MA10 moving average (USD 2,450) but failed to hold above it, with the upper MA30 moving average (USD 2,600) forming strong resistance.
· 4-Hour Level: Stagnation near the MA120 moving average (USD 2,500) with declining trading volume; short-term attention should be on the support zone of USD 2,420-2,350.
· Bullish Divergence Signal: The MACD histogram is shortening, indicating strengthening bullish momentum. A breakout above USD 2,500 will open up upward space.
2. News-Driven Factors
· Ecosystem Upgrade: The "Pectra Upgrade" will launch in Q1 2025, optimizing wallet experience and verification mechanisms, which is a long-term positive.
· Regulatory Risks: The CEO of CryptoQuant pointed out internal trust issues within Ethereum, and the loss of developers may impact ecosystem development.
3. Operational Strategy
· Short-Term: Light short position at USD 2,460, add to the position on a rebound to USD 2,520, target USD 2,350.
· Long Position Timing: When Bitcoin corrects to around USD 90,500, ETH can be positioned for long below USD 2,350.
3. Solana (SOL) Market Analysis
1. Technical Interpretation
· Daily Level: Stimulated by favorable policies, the price broke through the USD 230 resistance level, but the 1-hour RSI is overbought, requiring attention to the USD 200 resistance.
· Key Indicators: MACD indicates a short-term bullish outlook.
2. News-Driven Factors
· Inclusion in Strategic Reserves: Trump has listed SOL as a national reserve asset, leading to a single-day increase of over 22%, with market expectations for more favorable news from the upcoming summit.
· Ecosystem Progress: The Firedancer client is about to launch, which will increase transaction throughput by ten times, enhancing long-term competitiveness.
3. Operational Strategy
· Breakout Trading: If it stabilizes above USD 175, long positions can be pursued up to USD 200; if it falls below USD 150, then consider positioning long around USD 135.
4. Market Summary and Risk Warning
1. Macro Favorable Dominance: The U.S. cryptocurrency strategic reserve policy and the White House summit are the core short-term drivers, but caution is needed for the risk of a pullback if the March 7 summit policies do not meet expectations.
2. Common Technical Aspects: All three major cryptocurrencies face profit-taking pressure after rising, with a high probability of short-term correction; it is recommended to focus on light-position swing trading.
3. On-Chain Risks: The aftermath of the Bybit hacking incident is still ongoing, with 156,000 ETH potentially being sold within three days, which may trigger market volatility.
Core Operational Logic: Policy support underpins a long-term bullish outlook, but short-term caution is needed to avoid overbought corrections. It is recommended to enter long positions gradually at key support levels, while short positions should focus on quick in-and-out trades.
This article is independently written by the Coin Victory Group. Friends in need of current price strategies and solutions can find the Coin Victory Group online. Recent market trends have been primarily characterized by fluctuations, accompanied by intermittent spikes. Therefore, when making trades, please remember to control profit-taking and stop-loss effectively. In the future, when facing significant market data trends, the Coin Victory Group will also organize live broadcasts across the internet. Friends who wish to watch can find the Coin Victory Group online and contact me for the link later.
Mainly focused on spot and contract trading for BTC/ETH/ETC/LTC/EOS/BSV/ATOM/XRP/BCH/LINK/TRX/DOT
Specializing in strategies around high and low support and resistance for short-term swing trading, medium to long-term trend positions, daily extreme pullbacks, weekly K-top predictions, and monthly head predictions.
Note: The above analysis is based on market data as of March 3, 2025, 13:00. Specific operations should be adjusted according to real-time market conditions.
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