Yin is strong while Yang is weak, Yang is weak while Yin is strong; extremes will reverse, and after adversity comes prosperity. This is a natural law, as well as a market law, the way of heaven. There is no market that rises or falls forever, nor is there a market that continuously declines; there will always be fluctuations!
There’s no need to review the market news extensively. Other markets were closed over the weekend. Yesterday's article has already provided a recap. Let's directly start with price review and expectation analysis!
After a panic sell-off on Friday, the price of the coin rebounded quickly by over 7000 points. The short-term bearish trend has stopped declining! No ambiguity here; I will directly tell you the helmsman's judgment: from the 110,000 wave of one-sided weekly trend, the short-term has already stopped declining, and we should no longer look at 75,000 or 71,000. At least in the short term, it won't go there again.
The community mentioned the four-hour short-term yesterday, with the price around 85,000. We clearly informed everyone that there would be no significant bearish pullback over the weekend. Because the helmsman returned with the system, the system told us on Friday that Friday, Saturday, and Sunday would all maintain a bullish main theme. There would be no strong bearish movements. On Friday, the signals were fully bullish.
Yesterday, Saturday, the market activity over the entire weekend was not as lively as usual, so we generally do not recommend trading on weekends!
The price is under pressure at 86,400, which is the position where support turned into resistance during the previous decline. After a whole day of fluctuations, the pressure at 86,400 has now moved up to around 86,666.
The ultra-short-term trading strategy is clear. If over the weekend you only want to adopt a safe strategy, then it is undoubtedly bullish. The helmsman has clearly told you, there will be no strong bearish movements over the weekend. For the three days of ultra-short-term operations over the weekend, wait for a pullback to go long. Currently, the price has once again reached the resistance level of 86,400--86,666. If you need to operate short-term, just wait for a pullback to go long. In short, the only direction for short-term trading over the weekend is to go long on pullbacks. Remember, this is the ultra-short-term thinking! The validity of the ultra-short-term strategy and signals is limited to before 6 AM on Monday.**
For the weekly wave trend, please see the analysis below. Make sure to understand the cycle; don’t use the weekly chart for ultra-short-term!
The weekly chart will close this weekend, and we will summarize and preview next week!
As shown in the image:
In the above chart, BTC weekly, we can observe that the B wave pullback at 75,000 was relatively short, with the lows continuously refreshing, followed by a rapid surge, and the highs above 100,000 began to refresh continuously, until the day Trump took office, when the market, in conjunction with this news, refreshed the high for the fifth time, and the price quickly fell after reaching 110,000. After that, the price remained in a downward trend for a month and a half. After several weeks of gradual decline, it accelerated sharply last week, with a weekly drop of as much as 8,500 points. After the panic sell-off on Friday, it quickly rebounded, with the daily support at 81,700 being broken on Friday, reaching a low of around 78,000. This caused a lot of panic, as everyone has experienced the fear of 519, the terror of the one-word knife was like yesterday. However, the US market quickly stabilized at 81,700 again in the evening, and during the session, the helmsman entered long with a small account at 81,800, and the market never fell below this price again. Thus, the price continuously rebounded to the resistance level of 86,400.
The weekly chart this week is expected to close with a long lower shadow. The closing price is expected not to be lower than the daily support of 81,700. Therefore, this week’s weekly chart will be a bearish candle with a long lower shadow! Combined with the previous five weeks, the price has actually been in a one-sided downward trend.
The above is a summary and review of the chart prices. Now, let’s look at the expected trend of BTC prices for the next week.
The following are the helmsman's personal views and expectations, for reference only!
*For the short term, not short-term trading, but short term*, the helmsman clearly informs everyone that 78,000 has already bottomed out, and all the shorts in the market next week are traps. *The price will start a sharp recovery in March! As mentioned before,* after several weeks of gradual decline, it accelerated sharply last week, and the helmsman believes the decline has come to an end.**
Next week, it is recommended to pay attention to above 79,500. It is suggested to start buying on dips with 79,700 as the low point. Targeting 87,000, 88,200, 89,400; this is just the first target range. The helmsman believes this rebound and recovery trend could reach the range of 94,000--97,000, but it will take more time. Holding positions requires more patience.
After the market opens next week, the expectation is to first lure shorts and then surge, so the ultra-short-term contract long positions held at low prices over the weekend must be cleared before 6 AM on Monday, because next week will prioritize luring shorts before breaking out and rising again. As mentioned, it is recommended to start laying out small wave rebound recovery trends around 80,000 during the week.
If unexpectedly, the price strongly breaks through the 86,666 resistance level and accelerates upward over the weekend, this will create a super high-value point, and you can consider entering short positions to pre-arrange profits from the short trap next week, as the expectation is to buy bullish around 80,000. That’s several thousand points!
If there is no fluctuation over the weekend and the wave is small, then do not operate, just observe more. Wait for a larger pullback to go long, and then short when a high point appears after the market opens next week!
For other coins, just refer to the BTC trend analysis. There are too many coins to analyze one by one.
With strength in mind, remain calm in hand, and deal with it lightly!
If you find this helpful, please like and follow. In the future, I will accompany you in the crypto world; if you win, I will accompany you to reign supreme, and if you lose, I will accompany you to rise again!
The above analysis and predictions are merely the helmsman's personal probabilistic predictions and judgments about the market. Speculation carries risks; please invest cautiously!
2025.3.2 Crypto Helmsman
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