The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui talking about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke bombs!

Finally broke below eighty thousand, the main theme of the bears indeed makes people anxious. This has once again given rise to a batch of sayings in the coin circle that it is a trap, which has indeed caused everyone to lose confidence. Today, I will reorganize the recent trends, and everyone should listen carefully. Those who have read Lao Cui's articles are very clear that the underlying logic of the financial market is nothing more than the structure of buyers and sellers, and the coin circle is no exception. After all the twists and turns over the past 24 years, all financial markets have reached their peak. Looking back, since the Nasdaq set a historical high, this round of harvesting has already completed its groundwork. Returning to the essential question, in a situation where all markets are growing, where does the money come from? You can consider the last bull market as a way to digest the excessive issuance of the dollar, reducing inflation in the U.S. So has this wave of inflation really ended? The glamorous data performance cannot hide the current financial crisis. An epic level of growth may have made everyone forget that we are in a historical transformation and an unprecedented financial crisis. You might want to reflect on whether you have made a profit in this round of the bull market.

Believing in the right choices, only a small number of people have succeeded, and only a small number of people can profit from the glamorous data. Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has set a historical high, and at that time, Lao Cui had already mentioned the question of where the money for future trends would come from. As previously speculated, the article at the end of last year also mentioned that only Trump coming to power this year could drive a wave of trends, and after reaching a high point, a new direction would be chosen. I just didn't expect it to come so quickly; the strategic planning deployment has completely stalled, with only a few states bouncing around, and the pro-Trump states have already vetoed the strategic deployment strategy. The withdrawal of funds has also come so quickly; yesterday's article mentioned that there was still a distance of ten thousand points in the downward space, and today it has started to break below the eighty thousand mark. Bitcoin between 70-100K has been maintaining a growth of ten thousand points daily, while the current Bitcoin is maintaining a daily decline of 5000 points. How deep is the downward space? The clear answer is that it will not return to the points before the growth. Users who are stuck with short positions can start preparing to break free. Opportunities will only exist in the first half of the year, and the main theme of the second half will return to the bull market.

This wave of adjustment can only be seen as the evaporation of the bull market bubble, withdrawing funds that do not belong to the coin circle. Trump's targeted strategy will always revolve around the direction of "Make America Great Again," and the strategic deployment in the coin circle does not occupy a dominant position in his mind. At this stage, Trump's focus can also be seen, almost revolving around the situation of the Russia-Ukraine war. His neglect of the coin circle is not his personal intention; in the short term, bearish sentiment will still revolve around the coin circle. Trump Coin has already experienced a halving, and this year's coin circle, calculated on an annual basis, is currently in a short-term adjustment. Only in the planning for the second half of the year can we see if there will be any rebound. The struggle between Ethereum and SOL will continue, and the issue of fund allocation will be redefined. Do you think the spring of small coins will come this year? We must abandon the mindset of getting rich quickly with small coins. This year's Bitcoin will definitely not be the end at eleven thousand; the future of small coins can basically be concluded this year. Don't say I didn't warn you; the strategy regarding Bitcoin must start laying out in a bear market, and this year, only three coins can be laid out: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and SOL. Then there are special platform coins; the performance of leading platform coins can be considered for entry under the current downward trend. Platform coins are a temporary choice to recover losses, and during the bear market, it is worth considering buying some, as the strength of the rebound will signal with platform coins.

Returning to the value of Bitcoin, do not overlook this issue. With last year's wave of growth, it can be said that the proportion of gray production has increased significantly, whether it is the use of Bitcoin in trade settlements between countries or the use of blockchain technology for illegal assets domestically. This also includes the levels you can currently access; a lot of Bitcoin is involved in your life. With the application of technology and life, Bitcoin is currently being accepted by people, which is a synchronicity issue. Speaking of this, you need to be clear that the current value is more based on scarcity and security, rather than so-called practicality. If we look at the financial market from the perspective of practical value, then the most valuable items should be food and oil; the necessities of life are the most valuable items in society. But based on scarcity, we can explain the value of gold and diamonds, and Bitcoin is the same. This characteristic of synchronicity is extremely important, which can explain the current market value in the coin circle. From today's perspective, there is indeed a lot of bubble, but from the perspective of gray production, the downward space is not large. Of course, this conclusion may not be correct; at least we have to endure the downward phase of the first half of the year. To completely change the downward trend, only Trump and the U.S. government have this capability; other positive news is basically useless.

Lao Cui's summary: From a financial perspective, the current downward space is likely to be difficult to change in the short term. Small rebounds will always exist, and those who need to break free or change their current losses through contract operations can only grasp short-term rebounds or profits from short positions to hedge against spot losses. This operational model is highly challenging and requires a high level of precision in timing and entry points. Therefore, for ordinary users, it is best to enter with short positions to lock in spot profits, holding on until the bulls counterattack, which means waiting for the arrival of strategic reserves or Trump's slogans. Of course, there are also specific coins that have counterattack signals, such as the arrival of listing news, which will create the illusion of small-scale coin price increases. It is important to remember that currently, only Bitcoin and Ethereum have been listed in the coin circle, so the downward space for these two will almost not fully unfold, and the bottom space is basically nearing the bottom. We are not in a stage of bull-bear reversal; do not misunderstand. Entering contracts is only to compensate for short-term losses. Do not focus on contracts; the focus should still be on Bitcoin spot, as all profits can only lay the foundation for spot. The current layout can only be based on short-term strategies. If you have any questions, you can ask Lao Cui; please try not to leave messages, as Lao Cui will not watch them all the time. Sometimes, seeing messages is already a week later, and the significance of replying is not great!

Original creation by WeChat public account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, you can contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation and the big trend, not focusing on one piece or one territory, aiming for the final victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch of land, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, and often finds themselves trapped.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trade at your own risk!

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