The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui who talks about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smokescreens!

I originally planned to take a day off today, but there are too many messages that give me a headache. I have been bearish without shorting, which has led many to ask Lao Cui, can't you see such a big wave of market movement? Lao Cui has always been looking at the trend, so I emphasize repeatedly that as long as there is no strong positive news, it is negative. Without further ado, many friends are speculating why there has been a wave of sharp declines. The only reason is the issue of large capital. With the increase in tariffs by the Americans, most countries' tariffs were implemented yesterday, leading to capital issues under comprehensive taxation. Coupled with Powell's incitement and the emergence of various smokescreens, most investment companies have fully entered a conservative investment phase, with the first to be affected being the reduction of funds in the coin circle. For them, most entry points are below 80,000, so it is reasonable to withdraw now. In Lao Cui's thinking, I still won't short; the risks of both are too high. The losses in spot trading can only be recovered through short-term contracts; otherwise, it is indeed painful to watch the numbers in spot trading. Falling below the 90,000 mark is indeed worth noting for risks. Fundamentally, the panic sentiment below is still particularly severe, and Trump's recent statements are not beneficial for the coin circle.

Declines always come unexpectedly, and I remind everyone that Lao Cui's articles are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. You can ask Lao Cui about real-time entry points, and I will convey my thoughts positively to everyone. Also, Lao Cui does not participate in any group chats. Users with such needs can shift their focus and look at other analysts. Lao Cui's business only covers the obligations of an analyst and does not involve helping everyone recover losses or dealing with fraud on platforms. If you have been scammed, the chances of recovery are very slim. Matters related to filing a case require solid evidence, such as discrepancies between small platforms and the overall market trend or withdrawal issues; these can be reported to the police. Other issues, Lao Cui cannot resolve. I will stop discussing business matters here and return to the main topic. The current market is already in a recovery phase, and there is no possibility of contention at the 90,000 mark today. Everyone should understand that the withdrawal of large funds must have its reasons. A decline of over 10,000 points in the market does exist, but it is impossible to be halved in a day. Therefore, when a big market comes, if you cannot accept losses, you can choose to average down and enter the market. Generally, such situations can recover some losses within the same day or the next day during the recovery phase.

A bit of hindsight, directly speaking to users who are currently trapped, if there is no short-term capital demand, you can choose not to average down. If you extend the timeline, losses will be smoothed out. If you cannot accept short-term losses, you can enter to average down, provided you enter the market basically in sync with Lao Cui. Looking at the recent fluctuations, I believe everyone has a certain grasp of the market. All profits at the 94,000-98,000 mark have almost been completely lost in this wave; this is what Lao Cui refers to as all profits from the market coming to lay the foundation for losses. Many friends who did not manage their profits well in the early stages are now starting to lose their principal, which also relates to position management. Today, we will focus on the issue of position management. This position management issue is mainly for most users; specific problems are best discussed privately. First, having sufficient capital must be primarily in spot trading, with 60% of the position in spot trading, and the remaining 40% is to safeguard against spot losses, which is essentially the hedging effect in traditional finance. For example, currently, there are three types of currencies in the market: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and SOL. The declines of these three are different; Ethereum is considered medium overall, SOL is the most severe and has the most bubbles, but in yesterday's performance, ETH was actually the most stable. This is the principle of diversified investment, and reducing losses is what Lao Cui needs to consider.

As it stands, the information being revealed is mainly bearish, especially since Lao Cui's two states have clearly rejected the strategic reserve bill. This has become the last straw that broke the camel's back. Speaking of this, I would like to mention that many friends have just started following Lao Cui. I have previously mentioned that state governments and the American government can be considered two organizations. Trump cannot directly order them to implement strategic reserves; it is more about listening to declarations rather than orders. Therefore, this incident has little impact on the funds in the coin circle, but the impact on retail investors' confidence is extremely huge, including large investment institutions, which are almost afraid to inject funds into the coin circle again. The old question remains: how much confidence is there in value investing? Lao Cui's understanding is that there will definitely be one or two waves of bull markets during Trump's term. Especially many friends have mentioned the halving attribute; everyone needs to understand that regarding Bitcoin's fluctuation range in 2024-2025, there will indeed be a wave of bull market after the halving, but this wave of movement has been completely disrupted by Trump's strategies upon taking office. The parts that should rise in this wave of bull market have already done their best, and the halving effect is completely insignificant compared to the current capital movements. As for the space below, it is hard to predict, and the market's panic sentiment continues to spread. Lao Cui estimates that the space below is not large, and there will still be space around 10,000 points.

Lao Cui summarizes: Overall, the short-term capital chain has almost been disconnected, and we can only hope that Trump can adjust America's strategy and put the Bitcoin strategic reserve plan on the agenda. If this news cannot be realized in the short term, the bearish wave may continue, followed by a wave of interest rate cuts. Recently, trading has tested more of the management of positions. Without the prior profit foundation, everyone can wait for new low points to emerge after the short term and seize a wave of recovery in the market. As for short positions, I still do not recommend holding them strongly. The best way is still to base on the bear market and lay the foundation for the bull market. For long positions near 90,000, Lao Cui has averaged down to around 86,000 and exited. Users without experience or those who mismanage their positions should clear their positions soon. Users who are trapped can try to recover during the repair phase; if you are unsure, you can consult Lao Cui. Spot users need not worry; this round of bull market is not a swan song, and there will still be a wave of movement in 2025, which will not be lower than last year's range. I have already reminded everyone that the fluctuation space of recent trends will become larger and larger. As long as there are no major positive news as mentioned above, it will definitely be bearish. Entering contracts must be cautious. Even if you catch long positions, you can only catch a 3,000-point rebound. Although the lowest point is at 82,222, the current repair has also reached 86,687, overall achieving over 4,000 points. There is no need to worry; take the 3,000-point rebound as a standard, and once reached, you must exit without being greedy.

Original creation by WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.

Lao Cui's Message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation and the big trend, not focusing on one piece or one territory, aiming for the final victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch of land, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent entrapment.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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