First, the liquidity injected by TGA will end in April. Secondly, the U.S. reciprocal tariff policy will begin to be implemented on April 1. If the dot plot data released in March is not ideal, there will be no opportunity for interest rate cuts in Q2, and investor expectations will become more pessimistic, especially in the case of several unfavorable macro data releases.

Of course, Q2 is not completely without good news, but it is more focused on #Bitcoin. For example, several states in the U.S. have BTC strategic reserves, and the national strategic reserves of the U.S. may also emerge in the second quarter, but the benefits are primarily for BTC, with little help for altcoins.

Additionally, Q3 may not be very friendly either; the opportunities are likely to arise in Q4 when expectations for interest rate cuts return, which will help improve investor sentiment. Of course, these are broad directional predictions, and they need to align with the current detailed situation.

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