The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui talking about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smokescreens.
After a long separation, it is very joyful to reunite, and I hope everyone is doing well! In just over half a month, the cryptocurrency circle has been turbulent, and the trend seems to deviate slightly from our previous estimates. The three key elements of growth we mentioned earlier also need to be adjusted recently, so let's review and learn anew. The strategic reserves of Bitcoin (which are gradually being realized), the listing process of SOL, and the interest rate reduction strategy are the three points that have been most impacted. The biggest shock actually comes from the emergence of domestic deep seek, which has had a very strong impact on the cryptocurrency circle in the short term. The biggest impact is actually from Nvidia, where the competition between computing power and algorithms is currently dominated by algorithms. Many friends do not understand why the update of algorithms would impact the cryptocurrency circle; these aspects are purely technical issues, which are somewhat unexpected. It is important to understand that the current computing power cannot yet impact the cryptocurrency circle, but combined with the deep seek algorithm, it can at least enhance capabilities by a hundredfold. This means that once applied to the cryptocurrency circle, after optimizing the algorithm, Bitcoin that might take three years to compute could be completed in a month or even half a month, greatly reducing time costs.
The cryptocurrency market is essentially a shield structure, and blockchain is a complex program encryption process. Once someone can break through the blockchain's encryption program, the impact on the cryptocurrency circle can be said to be devastating. There would be no so-called untraceability, and our so-called gray industry theory would merely be a joke. Because of this, the cryptocurrency circle has experienced an unprecedented decline, causing all currencies to hit new lows this year. This section also tells everyone that technical issues are not favorable for cryptocurrencies. From a financial perspective, many friends tout the future currency attributes, which technically are merely a matter of time to overcome. Of course, when discussing financial attributes, one must set aside the existence of technology. The emergence of currency itself goes against human nature; looking at trade wars, currency has basically lost its financial attributes when it involves security. As we mentioned earlier, when we cannot purchase high-end chips with US dollars, the dollar has already fallen from grace. Finance has chosen to yield in the face of politics, making it just a piece of waste paper. At the same time, looking at our strategies for Southeast Asia and Africa, even the settlement of oil purchases is largely completed through technology, helping with infrastructure or exchanging for technology transfer. These have returned to the primitive way of exchange, bartering!
Meeting each other's needs is the essence of finance. Bartering may be safer and more reliable than so-called Bitcoin. The occurrence of these events may have a certain degree of impact in the long run. Overall, as development improves, the attributes of currency will gradually fade away. This topic is quite heavy, and it is the same for Lao Cui. The aforementioned negative sentiment regarding finance and technology towards the cryptocurrency circle does not mean that blockchain is a dead end. In the next 3-5 years, during Trump's term, the impact will not be too great. This is merely a mid-term perspective; Lao Cui still holds a positive outlook on the cryptocurrency market. Especially this year's three growth elements, strategic reserves are on the way, and once they are actually implemented, Bitcoin could easily reach 120,000. When it reaches 120,000, it will be the time for everyone to consider their exit strategy. The growth of Ethereum is similar to Bitcoin, but the extent depends on Vitalik's attitude. The determination expressed in previous writings is still there, and the team's restructuring and channel improvements raise the question of whether it can surpass SOL. As long as there are well-implemented strategies, Ethereum will see significant growth; if it remains mere talk, then this bull market will be Ethereum's final dance! Growth is definitely the main theme this year, but given the current financial environment and technology, passive growth returns will certainly not outperform Bitcoin, or even SOL!
Therefore, for users and all fans, this year's focus will definitely be on investing in Bitcoin and SOL. Bitcoin is certainly more stable, and after strategic planning, Bitcoin's impact rate is greater than all other currencies. Meanwhile, SOL's listing is basically a done deal, just waiting for the timing to be perfected. If Trump wants to earn more, he can only choose the listing of SOL, and the growth of Trump coins will also drive the appreciation of SOL, complementing each other. This is the opportunity for everyone this year. There is no need to overthink the idea of interest rate cuts; interest rate cuts have always been the main theme of the second half of the year, especially with the impact of AI and its derivatives, which may put considerable pressure on this year's US stock market. At this stage, it is a bit early to judge interest rate cuts; the current trend shows that there are no strong bullish news releases, and in the short term, we will see a fluctuating downward trend, which will also test everyone's patience. Lao Cui does not want to mention the trends of small coins too much; this bull market is basically unrelated to them, unless some specific coins, which are almost all related to Trump. The choice between small coins and newly issued coins, from Lao Cui's investment perspective, cannot be touched. Of course, for small coins at this stage, users with losses can hold for a while; waiting for the bull market to arrive will certainly recover some losses, but the best way is to invest in mainstream coins for a faster recovery.
Lao Cui's summary: This article was written starting from the beginning of spring. At the beginning of the new year, I did not have time to share the trends with all fans, and it has been delayed for quite a while; I hope everyone can understand. Writing and sharing articles is merely a side job; the main focus is still on the users in hand. Users with questions are generally replied to via private messages, so do not have too high expectations for the article. For contract users, at this stage, Lao Cui actually supports everyone using short-selling methods to hedge against spot losses. When the bull market arrives, contracts must be abandoned. For short-term judgments, the short-term outlook is bearish, the mid-term is bullish, and the long-term focus is on clearing bubbles, which is also bearish. During Trump's term, with the support of strategic reserves, Bitcoin will not experience deep corrections. Due to the influence of technology and finance, new highs will not come before this; the updates and iterations of technology will only deepen the bearish impact on the cryptocurrency circle. I remind everyone that the downward range is also an opportunity to buy the dip; all risks and opportunities have emerged, and how to grasp them depends on the combination of your ability and courage. For Bitcoin, try to control the profits of long positions at around 3000-5000 points, and let go of small coin rebounds if possible. If there are practical issues, you can directly ask Lao Cui. That's all for today; we will see you again later!
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Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even more than ten moves ahead, while a novice can only see two or three moves. The master considers the overall situation and strategizes, not focusing on individual pieces or territories, aiming for the ultimate victory, while the novice fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent entrapment.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!
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