I estimate that many friends might be asking why there was a sudden drop. The detailed content is written in the assignment, but it roughly relates to the new tariff plan that the U.S. will implement on February 1, which has caused panic in the market.

Trump will impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada, and a 10% tariff on China. About 15% of the food supply in the U.S. relies on imports, mainly from Mexico and Canada. The tariffs could cause food prices to rise by about 3%.

Moreover, Mexico and Canada are highly dependent on the U.S. market. The tariffs could lead to a decline in exports to the U.S. from these two countries, especially in key industries such as automotive and agriculture.

However, it is important to note that the data the Federal Reserve is most concerned about is the core PCE, which excludes food and energy inflation.

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