I have discussed this issue with many friends. If we overlay the four-year halving cycle with the U.S. election cycle, the midterm election cycle, and the monetary policy cycle, we will find that cyclical effects still exist. For example, if an economic recession occurs tomorrow, the price of #BTC will inevitably drop significantly. Then, after QE in 2026 (if it happens), the price of BTC will continue to rise. Furthermore, if Vance is elected president in 2028, the price of BTC will continue to rise. This is the effect of cycles.

However, with more traditional capital entering the market, the price fluctuations of #Bitcoin will inevitably become smaller. When the price drops, there will be more "catchers" buying in, as the circulating BTC in the market will only decrease. More BTC will remain in the hands of those who are not short of money (institutions).

Therefore, I still recommend to my friends to buy even 0.1 BTC and hold onto it, as it may benefit future generations.

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