Does AICoin believe it's time to buy the dip? Do you believe it?
Da Yu asks: Recently, the emergence of DeepSeek has caused a significant drop in Nvidia's stock, but Bitcoin hasn't fallen much. It seems that MSTR spent $1.1 billion to stabilize the situation. Do you think BTC can be bought at the bottom next? At what price should it be bought? Why?
Answer:
Analysis of the current situation of Bitcoin:
Market Environment:
- The current price of BTC is $102,000, only a 6% pullback from its ATH of $109,241.
- BlackRock ETF continues to see net inflows, with IBIT seeing a net inflow of $154 million in a single day.
- The total trading volume of ETFs has exceeded $10 billion, with institutional entry ongoing.
Positive Factors:
- BlackRock IBIT allows direct withdrawal of BTC, which must be processed within 12 hours.
- The ETF buys 18,014 BTC weekly, while the mining output during the same period is only 3,150 BTC, indicating a clear supply-demand imbalance.
- High liquidity supply has dropped below 5 million BTC, leading to a contraction in market circulation.
Entry Suggestions:
- Currently, the $97k-$98k range is a strong support area.
- Gradual accumulation strategy:
- 40% position at $98k
- 30% position at $95k
- 30% position at $92k
Reasons:
- Continuous institutional buying forms a price bottom support.
- The impact of the DeepSeek event is limited; the volatility of tech stocks does not change BTC's fundamentals.
- ETF demand > mining supply, this supply-demand imbalance is favorable for price.
It is not recommended to wait for lower prices. The current position is already a good entry point, and continuous institutional buying will raise costs.
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
