This Thomas is an expert in liquidity:

Before consuming the TGA, the Treasury can also adopt other "unconventional measures" that may last until mid-February to mid-March.

Therefore, the "TGA release" we have been anticipating may be delayed by about a month, starting in mid-February or March.

April is a tax season, so the TGA withdrawals will be paused in April. It will continue afterward until it is completely consumed.

Of course, there is a premise that Congress has not resolved the debt ceiling issue before this - once resolved, the TGA will stop releasing.

This may be the last opportunity for an upward move in 2025…

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