The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui talking about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome to all coin friends' attention and likes, and reject any market smokescreens.
After discussing some major trends, many friends hope that Lao Cui can guide them on spot trading. It’s more about sharing personal experiences than guidance. Facing the current market, contracts are indeed difficult to trade, and discussing trends is not very friendly for many contract users. Even if I suggest entering at the 90,000 mark, most users will have a fear mentality, still thinking about whether it will drop again when they reach their entry point. Even if I am certain that 90,000 is the entry point, there will still be moments when it breaks through 90,000, and the 89 position has also been shown to everyone; fear is a common human emotion. For the contract users I manage, I basically let everyone enter according to the ideas in the article. There isn’t much difference between fans and users. The only difference is that my layout is explained in more detail, which can give everyone the confidence to enter during times of fear, and also allows for communication of things that cannot be presented in the article. Getting too off-topic, today’s article theme will still explain the response methods for contract users in detail.
Starting with the trend, Trump has landed steadily, which is a positive message for the new currency he has issued. Even though the scythe has already swung down, it has indirectly boosted the market value of the crypto circle. From yesterday's trend, you can clearly see that before taking the stage, everyone thought it would drive a wave of trends, but after taking office, he said nothing about the crypto circle. This is the familiar tactic of the American president; the difference between the former president and the current president is the same. Of course, saying this is not to dampen everyone’s spirits. Before taking office, Trump also bought SOL, Ethereum, Bitcoin, and some small coins, which serves as a barometer for spot users. This article may very well become the last song before the New Year, and around the Spring Festival, Lao Cui will also take a break for a while. The content mentioned may be a bit verbose, so please watch patiently. The market around the Spring Festival will definitely be good; this is basically beyond doubt. For Trump, the strategies followed in the crypto circle may also be revealed soon. The recent trends may be quite intense, which is not good news for contracts. Everyone must be cautious when entering; the overall trend will lean towards a bullish trend, and there shouldn’t be much problem with going long.
It can be said that the general direction has been set since Trump took office. What you need to pay attention to is the selection of small coins; don’t think that this round of bull market is a benefit for the entire crypto circle. Legality and compliance require the elimination of many coins. Even the next coin to be listed will mainly be SOL. Unless revolutionary technology emerges to drive the listing of coins, other coins will basically be eliminated. You can filter currencies based on technical aspects, especially since Trump coins do not have any revolutionary technology at present and can only be measured by their popularity. Users seeking excitement can hold a portion during his term. You need to be clear about the average holding price; Trump’s initial average price is almost around 1U. At this stage, the overall market value of the entire coin can be said to be quite high, and the risks are uncontrollable. The year 2025 will definitely be a very turbulent era. First, let’s talk about the overall financial environment, which is unpredictable. First, when Trump took office, the anticipated Bitcoin surge did not happen. Secondly, the sudden increase in gold, including some announced bills, is basically centered around expanding territory. Once these bills become reality, the U.S. will indeed be strong for a while, which has already transcended the financial realm. Not to elaborate further, we will only discuss the parts that will affect us. The dollar will rise, U.S. stocks will also rise, marking changes in exchange rates, but it does not mean that the old A will fall.
Speaking of exchange rates, let’s talk about the issue of exchange rate fluctuations. Many friends do not pay attention to the fluctuations of exchange rates. You need to understand that the current financial system is a credit system created by the U.S., which serves as the foundation. When it comes to credit, everyone is very clear that the credit system does not stabilize any item, which still means exchange rates and cannot truly reflect the strength of the economy. The issue of exchange rates will not affect the quality of life domestically, but it will indeed involve the earnings of ordinary users in the crypto circle. The intuitive feeling is that purchasing U will be more expensive. If you have idle funds, investing in exchange rates is also a good choice. This year, it is highly likely that the exchange rate will not remain constant, so the trend within the year will indeed be stronger for the dollar. If calculated in terms of domestic legal currency, the current returns on Bitcoin are already extremely high. The linkage mentioned at the beginning of 2024 has basically been severed, so in judging future trends, you must not link it with exchange rates. The exchange rate has already lost its stabilizing effect on the crypto circle; only when the market is stable will we see results.
Regarding the contract aspect, it will definitely still focus on going long; there is no reason to short in the current crypto circle. At this stage, as long as any positive news related to the bulls is released, it will drive the growth of Bitcoin, but the impact of bearish news is already minimal. From the movement of funds, the giants are still leaning towards the bulls. At least since Trump took office, Bitcoin has not dropped below the 10,000 mark. Compared to the trends in December, it has increased by nearly 20,000 points and also set a historical high of 110,000 on that day. Everyone must not have a contrarian mentality; the absolute high point above cannot be judged at this stage. The clues are only based on Trump’s views on new currency issuance. For the future, we need to pay attention to whether Trump will list Bitcoin as a strategic reserve, the listing process of SOL, and the arrival of interest rate cuts. These three are the ultimate goals for this year. Achieving two of them will lead to Bitcoin reaching the 120,000-150,000 range, and this completion will stabilize the situation. With the support of interest rate cuts, a temporary breakthrough in the 150,000-180,000 range may also be achieved. The overall expectations for the Year of the Snake have basically been predicted.
Lao Cui summarizes: After discussing the overall trend, the trading plan for 2025 has been clarified. Regarding holding spot without moving, and for contracts, it is to enter long at low positions. As of now, Lao Cui still holds over 70,000 Bitcoin in the market, so my analysis is not to encourage everyone to enter blindly, but rather to show that I am still surviving in the market. Spot users should focus on Bitcoin, while small funds should focus on Ethereum and SOL. Do not get involved in investments in small coins anymore; this round of bull market is almost unrelated to other coins. Trump coins are an exception and must be viewed separately. Finding the next listed coin is what we should care about, as many coins may disappear after compliance. As for the market around the Spring Festival, you can grasp it yourself; the overall fluctuations around the Spring Festival will definitely welcome a wave of growth. At this stage, everyone can prepare to layout and enter; do not pay attention to other matters. Bitcoin’s new high may also be refreshed again soon. SOL can hold spot but do not get involved in contracts. For users who want to do contracts, try to focus on Ethereum, as its trend will be more stable. It’s best to communicate with Lao Cui before entering Bitcoin. Although the article will stop updating, I will always reply to user messages. At the end of the article, I wish everyone continuous wealth in the new year and prosperity year after year. In the crypto market, I hope everyone can continue to exist, and see you again in the Year of the Snake. The next meeting will be on a warm spring day; after the beginning of spring, we will meet again in the crypto circle. Happy New Year!
Original creation by WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.
Lao Cui's Message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even more than ten moves ahead, while a novice can only see two or three moves. The master considers the overall situation and strategizes for the big picture, not focusing on one piece or one area, aiming for the final victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch of land, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent entrapment.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!
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