Good evening, brothers!
Buffett summarized the three main reasons why most investors fail to succeed: First, transaction costs are too high. Frequent buying and selling can lead to a lot of unnecessary capital loss. Second, decision-making is too arbitrary. Believing in rumors and not focusing on fundamental analysis and research of companies. Third, the timing of entry is wrong. Due to the human tendencies of "greed" and "fear," people often excitedly enter the market at peaks and panic sell at lows, leading to repeated "slaps in the face" from the market.
In light of this, Buffett famously said, "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." In fact, the complete meaning of this phrase is: at market peaks, when others are greedy, I am fearful; at market lows, when others are fearful, I am greedy. If at market lows, when others are greedy, I should be even greedier; if at market highs, when others are fearful, I should be even more fearful. In short, all decision-making should be based on market valuation, not on the emotions of others.
Munger said that we should think in reverse. To avoid becoming a failed investor, we should try to avoid the three erroneous investment postures pointed out by Buffett: First, reduce trading frequency and pursue fewer decisions; Second, strengthen investment research and pursue more accurate decisions; Third, overcome human weaknesses and pursue more stable decisions. By avoiding losses, profits will naturally follow; by avoiding failure, life will naturally lead to success.
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On Friday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released an updated version of the "World Economic Outlook Report," raising its global growth forecast for 2025 to 3.3%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the forecast made in October last year. The IMF's global growth forecast for 2026 remains unchanged at 3.3%.
BTC: On the 4-hour level, the price continues to stay above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the price trend remains healthy.
On the daily level, the price continues to stay above the support of the moving averages, and the price trend remains healthy.
In summary, support level at 103000, resistance level at 103600.
ETH: On the 4-hour level, the price has pulled back to near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, and after stabilizing in the short term, there is a weak rebound demand, with a support level at 3260 and a resistance level at 3280.
LTC: The price continues to stay above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the price trend remains healthy, with a support level at 110 and a resistance level at 140.
BCH: The price has fallen below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the price trend is weak, with a support level at 450 and a resistance level at 480.
That's all for now, good night!
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