The macro cycle of BTC has significant regularity. Through historical trend structure analysis, it is relatively easy to determine the approximate positions of bull and bear market peaks.

"Wave amplitude satisfaction" is a practical niche analysis method, particularly suitable for investment targets with obvious cyclicality.

Method Analysis:
Case One: 2019-2021 Cycle

After the first wave of price increase ended, BTC entered a consolidation phase;

Subsequently, it broke through the consolidation and began the second wave of increase, with the amplitudes of both waves being similar (analyzing with a logarithmic chart is more intuitive);

When the amplitude is satisfied, BTC gradually forms a top structure and then enters a bear market.

Case Two: 2023-2025 Cycle

After the first wave of price increase ended, BTC formed a converging flag consolidation;

Then it broke through again, starting the second wave of increase;

Finally, after reaching the expected amplitude, it entered a top consolidation phase and gradually transitioned into a bear market.

Through this method, we can effectively judge the key nodes of BTC's bull and bear cycles, thereby optimizing investment strategies.

⚠ Note: The above operational suggestions do not constitute investment advice and do not recommend any cryptocurrencies. Investors are advised to trade rationally within their capabilities!

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