Russia's territory is so vast that I think it is merely a geographical arbitrage player: to the west, it is in Europe, absorbing advanced European technology, organizing itself, and conquering the east. Then, using the resources and population of the east, it arms itself to attack the west (Eastern Europe).

During the Soviet era, it was at its peak, benefiting from the dividends of World War II. Most of its technology came from the plundered German talent, and when this wave of people mostly died off, Soviet technology had no new developments.

After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, it had already moved beyond being a second-rate country, and oil prices began to rise again in 2000. Russia, as a major oil producer alongside Saudi Arabia, enjoyed a wave of dividends.

Therefore, when Trump targeted Russia through oil prices, it was a precise and ruthless strike. Ukraine has just officially cut off the pipeline between Russia and Europe, significantly reducing Russia's oil and gas revenue.

If Russia faces a long-term situation where it cannot sell oil and gas or the prices are very low, its decline will be inevitable. Moreover, this time, it may lead to another dissolution.

The question arises: as a major power in the East, will you help defend it, or will you watch the changes unfold? If it were me, I would choose the latter.

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