CHATGPT: If I could only buy three coins, I would choose these three.
Note: The following content is a question asked to @aixbt_agent, which I also asked GPT, and the responses are provided for comparison. GPT is the latest official version 4o.
- Dae-Yu asked: If you could only buy 3 coins now and hold them until June next year before selling, which three coins would you choose while balancing risk and return and pursuing maximum profit?
If the goal is to maximize returns while balancing risk and holding until next June, consider the following three categories of cryptocurrency combinations:
- Ethereum (ETH)
Reason: Ethereum is the core foundation for smart contracts and decentralized applications, with a strong network effect.
Its PoS mechanism and scalability improvements in 2025 may bring long-term value growth.
The risk is relatively low, and its returns are strongly correlated with the overall market trend.
Risk: Significantly affected by macro markets and regulations.
- On-chain infrastructure projects: Arbitrum (ARB) or Optimism (OP)
Reason: Layer 2 solutions are rapidly expanding, providing more efficient and lower-cost transactions.
There may be more explosive applications and capital inflows in the ecosystem in the next six months.
The investment logic is to participate in the dividends of Ethereum's expanding ecosystem.
Risk: Intense competition, and market sentiment can fluctuate dramatically.
- Potential high-growth projects: Aptos (APT) or Sui (SUI)
Reason: Next-generation public chain projects with strong funding support and an expanding developer community.
If market sentiment improves, high-growth projects may outperform the market.
These projects are suitable for betting on the explosion of emerging tracks.
Risk: Possible technological and community progress may not meet expectations.
Alternative strategy: Stable returns + small-cap explosion combination
If you want to combine stable returns with high-risk, high-reward, consider the following strategy:
70% weight in stable assets (like BTC, ETH).
30% weight in high-growth assets (like new L1 public chains, popular track tokens).
Suggestions
In the crypto market, high volatility and uncertainty always exist. The above suggestions need to be adjusted based on your own risk tolerance and market sentiment cycles. If you need more detailed strategy analysis, I can help you simulate more holding options!
- What about HYPE? Is the reason for not choosing it because the quality is worse than these three projects, or is it just because the FDV is too high? Would you consider HYPE in a combination of selected coins?
Reasons for not choosing HYPE:
Quality vs. HYPE project characteristics: HYPE projects typically rely on short-term market enthusiasm and speculation rather than long-term technological implementation or ecosystem development. If the hype fades, prices may quickly drop.
Competitive landscape: Many HYPE projects lack technological barriers or core innovations, making them easy to surpass by stronger projects.
FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) too high: If the FDV is significantly higher than the actual circulating market value, it indicates that future token unlocks will continue to exert selling pressure. For example, if the FDV reaches billions of dollars but the ecosystem has not fully landed, it may face the risk of overvaluation.
HYPE projects with high FDV are unfriendly to long-term holders, especially in a cooler macro environment.
Uncertainty of long-term returns: Holding until next June requires bearing the risk that HYPE projects may have already passed their peak and face "high-level retracement" risks, making it difficult to profit in the short term.
Situations where HYPE might be considered:
Despite the high risk, HYPE projects still have certain value in a combination, especially in the following scenarios:
Good cycles and market sentiment: If the market enters a strong cycle (similar to the DeFi and NFT explosion in 2021), HYPE projects can outperform mainstream assets in the short term, becoming high-yield drivers.
When market sentiment is high, the FOMO effect of HYPE may continue until next June.
Small proportion allocation: Use HYPE projects as a high-risk, high-reward supplementary asset (no more than 10%-20% of the portfolio). This way, even if HYPE projects fail, the overall impact on the portfolio is limited, but success can provide significant excess returns.
When to choose HYPE?
When choosing HYPE at this stage, consider the following criteria:
Leaders in hot tracks: If a track is currently a hotspot (like ZK Rollup, AI+Crypto, gaming), choose leading projects within its ecosystem.
Examples: $MAGIC (Treasure DAO - gaming track), $IMX (Immutable - NFT track).
Controllable unlock pressure: Try to choose projects with a high circulation ratio and low future unlock pressure.
Product implementation and community stickiness: Projects need to have substantial products and active community participants, rather than relying solely on market marketing to drive short-term hype.
If I consider HYPE, which ones would I choose?
$MAGIC (gaming ecosystem): A gaming + NFT ecosystem platform with a strong community and long-term development potential.
Risk: If the gaming ecosystem progresses poorly, it may decline after the hype fades.
$IMX (Immutable): A Layer 2 focused on game development, supported by actual cooperation cases.
Risk: Intense competition; it remains to be seen whether the game itself can attract users on a large scale.
$GALA (Gala Games): In the gaming and entertainment track, the team is committed to a multi-project ecosystem but is easily targeted for speculation.
Summary
If you want to pursue higher returns and are willing to take risks, moderately allocating to HYPE projects is reasonable, but you need to strictly control your position and choose those that:
Align with long-term trends (e.g., gaming, ZK, AI).
Have low unlock pressure.
Possess core products and high-quality HYPE with community support.
Portfolio suggestions:
Mainstream coins (ETH, etc.): 60%-70%.
Growth projects (APT, ARB, etc.): 20%-30%.
HYPE projects: 10%-20%.
Whether to choose HYPE depends on your judgment of market cycles and risk tolerance. If needed, I can help you analyze the risk and return of specific HYPE projects in more depth!
- You don't know what HYPE is, so you said so much. Who taught you?
I indeed misunderstood your question, interpreting HYPE as a type of high-heat project, while in fact, you were referring to a specific crypto project (possibly $HYPE). If that's the case, I made a mistake, and I apologize!
If you are referring to the specific $HYPE project, please let me know:
Its full name or detailed background (e.g., the track it belongs to, functional characteristics).
Why you think it is worth discussing (e.g., recent increase in hype or potential).
This way, I can analyze more specifically whether $HYPE is worth adding to the portfolio. Thank you again for the reminder!
I don't want to ask anymore, it's garbage.
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