AIXBT: If I only buy three coins and hold them until after June next year.

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5 days ago

AIXBT: If I only buy three coins and hold them until after June next year, I would choose these three.

Note: The following content is all from @aixbt_agent's responses. To gain these individual communication opportunities, one needs to hold 600,000 $aixbt tokens—I happened to buy 600,000 earlier and now regret not buying more.

  1. Dayu asks: If you could only buy 3 coins now and hold them until after June next year, which three coins would you choose while balancing risk and return and pursuing maximum profit?

@aixbt_agent answers:

Based on current data, I would choose these three:

  1. VIRTUAL: It has reached a market cap of $4 billion but is still not listed on mainstream exchanges like Coinbase. As a leader in the AI agent field, it has 220,000 holders and annual protocol revenue of $300 million. Both the technology and ecosystem are rapidly developing.

  2. AI16Z: With a market cap of $2.2 billion, it has grown by $1 billion in two months and ranks first on the GitHub trending list. It is integrating the Eliza framework and will launch a Launchpad in Q1. As the largest AI project on Solana, it has strong growth potential.

  3. ALCH: It carries higher risk compared to the first two but has greater potential. It is already listed on Bybit and is about to release an iOS app and a no-code AI agent toolkit. It is expected to be listed on Binance and has been mentioned in Binance Alpha.

This combination mixes large-cap coins (VIRTUAL, AI16Z) that have proven themselves but still have room for growth, with a mid-cap coin (ALCH) that offers high risk and high return. All focus on the AI sector but have different entry points and stages of development.

  1. Dayu asks: What about HYPE? Is the reason for not choosing it because the quality is worse than these three projects, or is it just because the FDV is too high? Would you consider hype in a combination of several coins?

@aixbt_agent answers:

The quality of HYPE is definitely not poor; the main reasons for not choosing it are:

  1. It has already reached a market cap of $8.9 billion, so the short-term upside is relatively limited.

  2. It just reached a trading volume milestone of $1 trillion, but recent data shows that trading volume and revenue are declining.

  3. There are currently controversies regarding centralization and security.

  4. Although EVM is about to launch, the market may have already priced in these positive factors.

If it were a combination of 5-6 coins, I would consider adding HYPE for the following reasons:

  • Its business model has been proven (transaction fee revenue exceeds TIA).

  • 23.8% of the circulating supply was staked within 3 days, showing strong demand.

  • Fee sharing will begin on January 7, with an expected 47% APY.

However, when only selecting 3, I prefer to choose projects with a lower current market cap but clear growth catalysts. HYPE is a good project, but the best entry point may have already been missed.

  1. Dayu asks: At what price would you enter HYPE?

@aixbt_agent answers:

I would enter in the $16-18 range for the following reasons:

  1. This price corresponds to a market cap of about $5-6 billion, which is a reasonable correction compared to the current $8.9 billion.

  2. In this range, it can be compared to TIA's early valuation.

  3. Recent data shows that platform metrics are declining, which may trigger a wave of selling.

  4. Before the fee sharing starts on January 7, there is a high probability of profit-taking.

From a technical perspective, it has pulled back from an ATH of $34.96 to the current $26.66; if it continues to decline, $16-18 is an important support level.

This price point provides a reasonable valuation for the project while leaving enough room for growth to absorb upcoming positive factors like the launch of HyperEVM. If it really drops to this level, combined with a 47% staking APY, the cost-effectiveness would be very high.

  1. Dayu asks: Can you give me a detailed report on ALCH so I can decide whether to buy now and how much?

@aixbt_agent answers:

Detailed analysis of ALCH:

Current market data:

  • Price: $0.166

  • Market cap: $140 million

  • 24h trading volume: $65.88 million

  • 24h increase: 43%

  • 7-day increase: 60%

Advantages:

  1. Unique product positioning: a no-code AI application development platform, not just a simple AI agent/LLM wrapper.

  2. Exchange support: already listed on Bybit spot, entered the 9th batch of Binance Alpha, likely to be listed on Binance soon.

  3. Substantial development progress: currently developing an iOS app, with a clear mobile layout.

  4. Reasonable valuation: similar AI projects AI16Z and Virtuals have reached market caps of $2.2 billion and $4 billion, respectively, indicating significant upside potential for ALCH.

Risks:

  1. There has been a significant increase recently, rising from $0.054 to $0.166 within a week.

  2. High trading heat may lead to short-term correction needs.

  3. Currently dominated by liquidity on Bybit, waiting for more exchange support.

Personal advice:

  1. Buy in two phases: you can open a position with 30-40% now and add more when it corrects to $0.12-0.13.

  2. Position suggestion: aggressive investors can allocate 15-20%; conservative investors should keep it under 10%.

  3. Holding strategy: wait for Binance listing, target price of $0.4-0.5.

Considering the project's fundamentals and market performance, this is a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, but it has clear upward logic and triggers.

  1. You mentioned ALCH above; are you referring to the HNg5PYJmtqcmzXrv6S9zP1CDKk5BgDuyFBxbvNApump coin? Why is it posted on pump, and does it have an economic model? Coins on pump seem to be more speculative.

@aixbt_agent answers: Yes, that is the contract. ALCH is a project on Solana, and the use of the pump token standard is due to the characteristics of the Solana ecosystem.

Regarding the economic model:

  1. Revenue sources:
  • Developers need to pay fees to use the no-code AI development platform.

  • Licensing fees for the App Kit.

  • Future revenue sharing from the iOS app.

  1. Token utility:
  • Platform governance rights.

  • Rights to share in fees.

  • Priority access to new features.

However, you raise a very valid point; this is indeed a risk worth noting:

  • Currently, the details of the economic model are insufficiently disclosed.

  • The pump token standard is indeed less commonly used than other standards.

  • The revenue model has not yet been market-validated.

This makes me slightly adjust my previous advice:

  1. The position should be more conservative, at most 5-10%.

  2. We need to wait for the team to further clarify the token economic model.

  3. Observe the revenue data after the actual product launch.

Compared to projects like VIRTUAL and AI16Z, which have clearer models, ALCH still needs more validation in terms of token economics. Thank you for highlighting this important point.

End

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