Today's homework is a bit tiring. Last night, the finance department and the national tax bureau jointly issued the latest broker interpretation, which will be implemented starting in 2025, with a transition period in 2025 and 2026, and formal implementation in 2027. This will have a certain impact on the front end of the DeFi field, requiring users' KYC and brokers to pay taxes. This information has sparked a lot of discussions among many overseas friends, as the specific implementation will be in 2027, and it will be after the transfer of power, so the market generally believes that Trump has the ability to withdraw this interpretation.
Whether it's a coincidence or has some impact, almost at the same time the announcement was made, cryptocurrencies experienced a general decline. Of course, it could also be due to the poor performance of the U.S. stock market after it opened. Currently, #BTC has fallen below $95,000, but there hasn't been a panic in the market yet. If this is due to the interpretation, then there are still two years before the mandatory implementation in 2027, so it's normal for the market not to react extremely.
Today, the turnover rate of #Bitcoin is still relatively low, which aligns with our judgment about the Christmas holiday. According to American work habits, a full recovery of liquidity is expected to occur after January 6. Before that, liquidity remains at a low level, which is also a test of market sentiment. Tomorrow is the weekend again, and it's a weekend during the Christmas period, so liquidity is expected to be even worse. This will also make sentiment more dependent.
From the turnover data, it can be seen that the panic of early investors has calmed down, and currently, the most active participants in turnover have returned to short-term investors. Combined with the data from Thursday's spot ETF, it is possible that American investors' sentiment may gradually warm up after the holiday, especially since the transfer of power is very close.
Although the price has fallen below $95,000, the support between $95,000 and $100,000 remains strong, and there are no signs of collapse, so for now, we don't anticipate any major issues. The next two days may continue the pattern of rising during Asian hours and falling during European and American hours. We hope that no major events occur during this time.
The data has been updated, address: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1E9awSVwrVOxKOiaMdYT5YZvfveeFd9ENU-iO6dVcGj0/edit?usp=sharing
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