The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui talking about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens.
After discussing too much market trend, many friends have given feedback, all tangled up about why Lao Cui hasn't provided entry points recently. First of all, Lao Cui mainly focuses on going long, and it is obvious that the recent trend shows a tendency to pull back. Secondly, due to the platform's rules, providing points carries risk management risks. The depth of Bitcoin's pullback is almost around ten thousand points, and even if the given position can ultimately be profitable, many friends still cannot hold on. Unless the market is very stable, at many times I can only provide everyone with an operational idea, I hope everyone can understand. The idea given to everyone yesterday, I wonder how many could accept it; both high and low points are difficult to establish. In fact, it is to provide everyone with a clear approach. At this stage, it is definitely dominated by fluctuations, in a back-and-forth washing form, overall it is a downward fluctuation. Lao Cui summarizes it as a market that intimidates the bulls. Today's article will focus on how to judge the end of a bull market.
Many friends are afraid of a sudden reversal in the market, but this situation is actually very difficult to achieve at this stage. With the backing of traditional capital listings and the continuous positive news from Trump, a reversal in the bull market can only happen if delisting and Trump's veto are satisfied, which is extremely difficult to achieve at this stage. Including the quantum computers that everyone is considering now, the computing power has improved to some extent, but the accuracy still cannot be guaranteed. Everyone should be clear that if the computing power improves as foreign media claims, the first element they need to realize this technology is to attack the cryptocurrency market. Obviously, the hidden truth is not as we see it. The emergence of blockchain technology will be very difficult to conquer in the next five to ten years. Holding currency for a year is already tough; why consider such a distant future? If this technology really appears, the ones who should worry the most are the Americans, after all, they are the largest holders of Bitcoin. Even if it appears, it will definitely suppress the application of this technology, so there is no need to worry unnecessarily.
Regarding the exchange rate, many friends are very concerned. This topic cannot be discussed with everyone at this stage. Users engaged in related industries can privately chat with Lao Cui. The strength of the dollar is a campaign promise from Trump's rise to power, and he definitely has the ability to control this. The strength of the dollar means the weakening of other currencies, which is certainly linked to everyone's life. Storing USDT for sale next year is definitely a quality choice, so indirectly, we can say that depreciation will definitely happen; the logic is easy to understand. In terms of foreign trade, individuals and countries are completely two concepts, and it is very difficult for individuals to profit, so there are basically no channels in this regard; it is essentially a dead end. Users who want to increase investment need to think carefully. This feedback to the coin circle is the overall increase in market value. Of course, this is in relation to other fiat currencies. If you are spending in dollars, there is basically no impact. With this explanation, you should understand what normal USDT traders are doing? It is just an exchange rate speculation, which is also a gray industry, and I do not recommend everyone to choose this. Feedback to personal investment users' choices, the return rate of the financial market at the end of the year is generally higher, and the coin circle is no exception. Many friends settle at the end of the year based on the coin circle. Don't think that only traditional companies will settle at the end of the year; the black and gray industries also follow this traditional settlement date.
Returning to the core question, when will the market makers start to pull up the market? This section is the main point of this article. To put it bluntly, the market in December will definitely be dominated by pullbacks, with no significant growth reasons. The pull-up behavior is likely to happen in January. However, Lao Cui does not hold an optimistic attitude towards the growth of small coins; the focus will still revolve around mainstream currencies, namely Bitcoin and Ethereum. I believe everyone, like Lao Cui, has doubts. I always feel that the growth opportunity for Ethereum has not truly arrived, especially this year when Bitcoin continues to set historical highs, while Ethereum has not reached the previous bull market high. In this environment, more people will inevitably choose to invest in Ethereum. But Lao Cui needs to remind everyone that while Ethereum has indeed created the era of smart contracts, under this condition, it cannot cover its own shortcomings. Compared to existing currencies, the advantages of latecomers always exist. It does not belong to the type of Bitcoin; you can compare the leading company in an industry with the second one, and they are basically worlds apart. Therefore, when a wave of market starts, excluding human factors, the growth of Ethereum is unlikely to surpass Bitcoin. Users with ample funds should try to choose Bitcoin.
With less growth space for Ethereum, naturally, there will be less bubble. You can observe the entry of large-scale users with significant capital; there have been many layouts recently. This kind of layout, from a side perspective, can corroborate that there will be a pull-up market in January. Don't pay attention to so-called technical analysis; users who can profit in the market will never rely on chart predictions. For entering Ethereum, Trump's last buying action was at the 3420 position, and based on this position, a space of about 50 points up and down is within the range for everyone to buy. The layout time can be around one month. At the same time, the corresponding position for Bitcoin is within the range that can be bought at any time. Lao Cui always emphasizes that Bitcoin below 100,000 can be bought without hesitation; contract users are still in the low long range. Don't let market trends confuse your judgment; the lower the market, the higher the profit space for everyone. Analysts who are bearish, you just need to let them show their holding charts; going short is definitely a choice that leads to liquidation. Remember, when the market is declining, it is the opportunity for everyone to enter. If you don't dare to enter now, don't talk about having the courage to enter when the market starts later.
Lao Cui summarizes: From a funding perspective, users who are buying recently will appear more, including a sudden surge in Bitcoin last night, exceeding many people's understanding. This behavior is basically consistent with our previous estimates. The current market is fluctuating up and down; after washing the market, it will rise again. The operation given to everyone is just about the entry points. Lao Cui currently holds positions, with Ethereum's entry point hovering around 3300-3400, and Bitcoin's current average holding price has reached around 88,000. The rise in average price definitely indicates an increase in positions. More than 10,000 Bitcoins have flowed into exchanges, which means the timing for everyone to buy has come again. Seizing this opportunity, counting this time, about two-thirds of the domestic shipments have already been completed, and the subsequent dumping can almost be ignored. After entering January, short positions definitely cannot be made anymore; it is just waiting for the growth period. Recently, with more bullish layouts, Lao Cui is already prepared to start. Users who want to enter can directly ask Lao Cui. There is not much to communicate about this market fluctuation; as long as there is no extreme market, Lao Cui also wants to take a break, and updates will slow down, please bear with me!
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Lao Cui's Message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even more than ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation and plans for the big trend, not focusing on one piece or one territory, but aiming to win the game. The novice, on the other hand, fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent troubles.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trade at your own risk!
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