Hotcoin Research | New Blue Ocean of Digital Assets: Analysis and Outlook on the RWA Track Expected to Explode in 2025

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# Introduction

The concept of Real World Assets (RWA) refers to the tokenization of financial or physical assets from the real world through blockchain technology, enabling them to circulate on-chain. RWA not only brings deep breakthroughs in technology, funding, and applications to the blockchain ecosystem but is also expected to become an important complement to traditional financial markets.

Currently, the total market value of on-chain RWA assets exceeds $14 billion, while the corresponding assets in the traditional financial system reach several trillion dollars. This high growth potential from a low base makes RWA regarded as a "new blue ocean" in the digital asset field. Traditional financial giants such as Goldman Sachs, BlackRock, and JPMorgan have already begun to lay out their strategies in this area. The unique value and immense potential of RWA are highlighted. According to a forecast by global consulting firm McKinsey, the RWA market is expected to reach approximately $4 trillion by 2030. In the coming years, RWA will drive the digital asset market into a new development stage by continuously absorbing traditional financial assets and funds.

This article aims to provide a comprehensive interpretation of RWA by deeply analyzing the core logic, market status, mainstream application scenarios, and future trends of the RWA track.

# Core Logic and Market Value of RWA

1. Core Logic of RWA

The core logic of Real World Assets (RWA) is to map financial or physical assets from the real world onto the blockchain, enabling on-chain trading and management through tokenization. Its value lies in transforming the inefficient segments of the traditional financial system through blockchain technology, ultimately enhancing the transparency, liquidity, and security of assets.

The implementation process of RWA mainly includes the following steps:

  • Asset Assessment and Certification: Evaluating the value of real assets (such as government bonds, real estate) and ensuring their legality and authenticity. This step is usually completed by professional institutions.

  • Asset Digitization: Using blockchain technology to digitally represent the ownership or income rights of assets in the form of tokens. Tokens can represent equity-type assets (such as stocks) or fixed-income assets (such as bonds).

  • Smart Contract Design: Writing the rules for asset usage, income distribution, and circulation methods into smart contracts to achieve fully automated management and transparent transactions.

  • On-chain Trading and Circulation: Tokenized assets are traded on the blockchain, allowing buyers and sellers to complete asset transfers and settlements without relying on intermediary institutions.

  • Realization of Rights: Investors holding tokens receive income distributions through smart contracts, such as government bond interest, rental income, etc.

2. Market Value of RWA

The market value of the RWA track is mainly reflected in the following aspects:

(1) Enhancing Asset Liquidity: Many traditional assets (such as real estate, commodities) have high trading thresholds and low liquidity. RWA achieves asset fragmentation through tokenization, allowing more investors to participate, significantly increasing asset liquidity. For example, a property worth several million dollars can be tokenized into millions of shares, giving small and medium investors worldwide the opportunity to buy and trade.

(2) Reducing Transaction Costs: In the traditional financial system, asset trading often incurs fees from intermediary institutions (such as banks, brokers) and involves complex cross-border procedures. RWA leverages the disintermediation characteristics of blockchain, directly connecting buyers and sellers through smart contracts, greatly reducing transaction costs.

(3) Breaking Geographic and Market Barriers: The RWA track relies on the borderless nature of blockchain, granting traditional assets the ability to trade globally. For example, an investor in the United States can easily purchase real estate tokens located in Asia without going through the cumbersome cross-border trading procedures of traditional markets. This cross-border accessibility makes RWA highly attractive to international investors.

(4) Increasing Transparency and Security: The transparency and immutability of blockchain address the issue of information asymmetry in traditional finance. All transaction records are publicly stored on the blockchain, allowing real-time traceability of asset authenticity, historical records, and transaction details, significantly reducing the risk of fraud and misconduct.

(5) Promoting Financial Innovation and Inclusive Finance: RWA not only provides institutional investors with efficient asset management tools but also creates more opportunities for individual investors by lowering barriers. Many assets that were previously only available to high-net-worth clients (such as private credit, gold) are now accessible to ordinary investors through tokenization, achieving the democratization of financial markets.

# Main Application Scenarios of the RWA Track

The diversified nature of RWA makes it suitable for multiple application scenarios. Here are several representative fields and their practical cases:

1. Stablecoins: The Benchmark for Digitalizing Traditional Currencies

Stablecoins have become the most mature area in the RWA track. Stablecoins represented by USDT and USDC, due to their peg to fiat currencies, have become the most widely used digital assets in global transactions.
The development of stablecoins will increasingly rely on improvements in transparency and regulation. For example, Circle is enhancing audit transparency through collaboration with Deloitte, which may drive broader institutional adoption in the future.

2. Private Credit: A New Fusion of On-chain Financing and Traditional Credit

The total market value of the private credit track is approximately $5 billion, accounting for a major share of the RWA market. Maple Finance provides loans to businesses through tokenized credit agreements, attracting a large number of on-chain lenders. Centrifuge helps small and medium-sized enterprises obtain financing at lower costs through accounts receivable and real estate collateral.

3. Government Bond Products: Low-risk High-yield Investment Tools in DeFi

Government bond products provide investors with safe and stable income options through on-chainization while significantly reducing transaction costs in traditional financial markets. Tokenized government bonds (such as OUSG) launched by Ondo Finance offer investors an annualized return of over 4.5%. The BUIDL fund launched in collaboration with BlackRock and Securitize has surpassed a market value of $500 million.

4. Commodities: Successful Practices Represented by Gold Tokenization

The global market value of gold has exceeded $13 trillion, and the market potential for tokenization is enormous.

PAX Gold (PAXG): Each token is backed by physical gold reserves, with a steadily growing market value.

Tether Gold (XAUT): Focused on holding and trading low-volatility assets, attracting risk-averse investors.

5. Real Estate: Achieving Digital and Global Investment

RealT allows users to purchase tokenized real estate rights in the U.S., with rental income distributed on-chain. Through platforms like RealT, investors can partially hold property rights and receive rental income. However, the complexity of real estate transactions and insufficient liquidity remain major obstacles.

# Current Development Status and Representative Projects of the RWA Track

1. Ecological Status and Market Potential

With the development of blockchain technology and the growth of market demand, the RWA track has undergone a transformation from concept validation to gradual implementation over the past few years. As of December 20, 2024, the RWA market size has reached $13.9 billion, but compared to the global traditional asset scale (over $300 trillion), this figure is still in its infancy.

Source: https://app.rwa.xyz/ 

Among them, U.S. government bonds are the most important asset type in the RWA track, accounting for 66.83% of the market share. The second is commodities, with a market share of 22.53%.

Source: https://app.rwa.xyz/ 

Several authoritative institutions have made positive predictions about the growth of the RWA track over the next decade: Bitwise predicts that by 2025, the RWA market size may reach $50 billion, with potential exponential growth in the future. According to McKinsey's forecast, by 2030, the global tokenized asset market size may reach $4 trillion, with RWA expected to occupy a core share. The Global Financial Markets Association predicts that the market size may reach $16 trillion by 2030. This indicates that RWA is not only a current market hotspot but also an important component of global financial innovation in the next decade.

2. Representative Projects in the RWA Track

(1) MakerDAO

As a veteran project in the DeFi space, MakerDAO includes real assets such as U.S. government bonds as collateral for DAI, diversifying and stabilizing the underlying assets of MakerDAO through the introduction of RWA. Currently, RWA assets contribute over 50% of the protocol's revenue. It is worth noting that MakerDAO plans to gradually reduce the proportion of U.S. government bond assets according to its Endgame plan, aiming to lower the RWA asset ratio to 15% by around 2025.

(2) Aave

Aave launched the RWA market in 2021, allowing users to use real assets as collateral for borrowing and incorporating RWA into its native stablecoin GHO's collateral. This strategy helps Aave achieve an organic combination of lending and stablecoin issuance, thereby expanding its layout in the RWA field.

(3) Ondo Finance

Founded in 2021, initially focused on LaaS (Liquidity as a Service), but transitioned to the RWA track in early 2023. The products mainly revolve around U.S. government bonds and related short-term financial instruments (such as OUSG, USDY), and collaborate with BlackRock's BUIDL fund to enhance returns and compliance.

(4) USUAL

Tokenizes U.S. government bonds, allowing investors to trade U.S. bonds directly in decentralized markets and obtain stable returns. Through USUAL, government bond assets can be managed and traded quickly and efficiently on DeFi platforms without traditional intermediaries.

(5) Maple Finance

Founded in 2019, originally focused on unsecured credit lending for trading firms and market makers, but faced setbacks due to partner defaults. It transitioned to RWA collateralized lending and cash management pools, investing USDC in U.S. government bonds and launching new products like Maple Direct and Syrup.fi.

(6) Centrifuge

Built on the Polkadot parachain based on Substrate, focusing on on-chaining traditional assets such as accounts receivable and real estate collateral, using NFT technology to map real assets as NFT collateral. It is deeply integrated with mainstream DeFi projects like MakerDAO, providing support for asset liquidity and diversification.

# Opportunities and Challenges Facing the RWA Track

1. Opportunity Analysis

The RWA track is in a rapidly developing initial stage, and with the maturity of blockchain technology, changes in traditional financial market demand, and the digital transformation of global capital markets, RWA faces the following significant opportunities:

(1) Acceleration of Global Capital Digitalization Trend: The gradual digitalization of traditional financial assets is an inevitable trend. Blockchain technology provides efficient tools for asset tokenization, making RWA an important bridge for the digitalization of global capital markets. Through RWA, investors can more easily access asset classes that were previously difficult to participate in, such as cross-border real estate investment or private credit.

(2) Expansion of Diversified Asset Classes: From stablecoins to government bonds, the asset types in the RWA track cover almost all mainstream traditional financial assets. With technological advancements and increased market acceptance, more innovative asset classes such as art, intellectual property, and natural resources will become new drivers of growth in the future. Particularly in the fields of environmental protection and sustainable development, the demand for tokenization of assets like carbon credits is gradually increasing, opening up new growth areas for the RWA track.

(3) Further Enhancement of Financial Inclusion: The high threshold issues in the traditional financial system are effectively addressed through RWA. The realization of partial ownership allows ordinary investors to participate in asset classes such as high-end real estate and government bonds. Financial inclusion will drive more users into the RWA market, promoting the flow of funds globally.

(4) Deep Integration with DeFi: Decentralized finance (DeFi) provides new application scenarios for RWA, such as using tokenized assets for collateralized lending and liquidity mining. The combination of DeFi and RWA not only enhances asset liquidity but also provides users with more sources of income, invigorating the crypto-financial ecosystem.

(5) Attention from High-net-worth Clients and Institutional Investors: Traditional financial giants like BlackRock and Goldman Sachs have begun actively laying out strategies in the RWA market, indicating that this track is being recognized by mainstream institutions. The participation of high-net-worth individuals and institutional investors will bring more capital inflow and promote the standardized development of the market.

2. Challenge Analysis

Despite the broad prospects of the RWA track, it faces multiple challenges during its development, requiring collaboration among industry and market participants.

(1) Technical Risks

  • Smart Contract Vulnerabilities: The core logic of RWA relies on smart contracts, and any vulnerabilities in these contracts could lead to significant asset losses. For example, multiple DeFi protocol attacks in 2023 have sounded alarm bells.

  • Stability of Blockchain Networks: Congestion or instability in public blockchain networks may affect the trading efficiency and security of RWA assets, especially during periods of increased transaction volume.

(2) Regulatory Uncertainty

  • The cross-border nature of RWA necessitates compliance with legal and policy differences across multiple jurisdictions. For instance, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)'s stance on tokenized securities may directly impact the legality and operability of the RWA market.

  • The lack of a unified global regulatory framework may lead to market fragmentation and increased compliance costs, limiting the widespread adoption of RWA.

(3) Challenges in Asset Valuation and On-chain/Off-chain Coordination

  • Complexity of Valuation: The valuation of many real-world assets requires the involvement of professional institutions, but on-chain transactions necessitate a clear and transparent definition of asset value, making coordination difficult.

  • Verification of Authenticity: Ensuring that on-chain assets correspond to real and traceable off-chain entities is a critical issue that the RWA track must address. Fraudulent activities such as double collateralization across multiple platforms may also undermine market trust.

(4) Market Acceptance and User Education

  • High Threshold Issues: Although RWA lowers the participation threshold for traditional assets, its technical complexity and compliance requirements may deter ordinary investors.

  • Insufficient User Education: Many potential users still have a basic understanding of blockchain and RWA, and a lack of comprehensive awareness may hinder further market penetration.

(5) Limitations in Liquidity and Ecosystem

  • Although RWA enhances the on-chain liquidity of assets, the overall market size is relatively small, leading to insufficient liquidity for many assets.

  • The lack of a well-developed secondary market and supporting infrastructure poses significant constraints on liquidity in the RWA track.

# Summary and Outlook of the RWA Track

The Real World Assets (RWA) track has transitioned from concept validation to initial implementation in just a few years, gradually becoming a key bridge for the integration of blockchain and traditional finance. Its core logic revolves around "asset tokenization," mapping real assets onto the blockchain through blockchain technology, endowing them with higher liquidity, transparency, and security.

Although the RWA track is still in its early stages, the participants in its ecosystem, asset scale, and technological innovations all demonstrate strong growth momentum, laying a solid foundation for future development. The main trends in RWA development over the next few years are:

(1) Exponential Growth of Market Size: By 2030, the RWA market size may exceed $4 trillion. Stablecoins will continue to dominate the market, while private credit and real estate are expected to become larger incremental markets in the future.

(2) Deep Integration with DeFi: RWA assets will increasingly be embedded in DeFi protocols, such as collateralized lending and liquidity mining. By combining tokenized assets with decentralized finance, RWA can further unlock on-chain value while injecting real asset support into the DeFi ecosystem.

(3) Acceleration of Institutionalization and Compliance: The continued entry of traditional financial institutions will further promote the compliance and institutionalization of RWA. The demonstration effect of institutions like BlackRock and Goldman Sachs will attract more financial giants to enter the market. With the introduction of the EU MiCA legislation and the gradual clarification of policies by the SEC, regulatory barriers for the RWA track will gradually be dismantled.

(4) Driven by Technological Innovation: The maturity of Layer 2 solutions and cross-chain technologies will enhance the trading efficiency and user experience of RWA assets. The application of technologies such as zero-knowledge proofs will provide higher privacy protection for RWA asset transactions while maintaining transparency.

(5) Diversification of Asset Classes: In addition to existing stablecoins, bonds, and real estate, RWA may further expand into areas such as carbon credits, art, agricultural products, and intellectual property in the future, bringing more innovative products to the market.

RWA is not just an extension of blockchain technology; it represents a profound transformation of the global financial system. It not only changes the way assets are managed and traded but also injects new growth momentum into global capital markets. In the coming years, as technology matures, regulations improve, and markets become more widespread, RWA will transition from a "new blue ocean of digital assets" to a "new normal of global finance." For investors, technology developers, and policymakers, seizing this trend is both a challenge and an opportunity.

About Us

Hotcoin Research, as the core investment research department of Hotcoin, is dedicated to providing detailed and professional analysis for the cryptocurrency market. Our goal is to offer clear market insights and practical operational guidelines for investors at different levels. Our professional content includes the "Play and Earn Web3" tutorial series, in-depth analysis of cryptocurrency industry trends, detailed analyses of potential projects, and real-time market observations. Whether you are a newcomer exploring the crypto space for the first time or a seasoned investor seeking deeper insights, Hotcoin will be your reliable partner in understanding and seizing market opportunities.

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