Analyst Chen Shu: 12.20 Afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Strategy * No. 1, First Time Breaking Daily MA30 Since the Rise, How to View
On 12.19 afternoon/midnight, the article analyzed short positions giving 10.18/10.3 shorts, with the highest rebound of shorts reaching 10.28 and the lowest adjustment to 9.57, resulting in a maximum profit of 6000 points for shorts. Congratulations to friends who followed the operation! Currently, with a significant short-term adjustment, please see the following analysis for operation guidance.
From the daily chart of Bitcoin, there has been a significant adjustment for two consecutive days, with the price retreating from around 10.8 to around 9.6, a drop of 10,000 points. Moreover, it has now broken below the daily MA30 moving average, marking the first time since this bull market's rise that it has fallen below the daily MA30 support. Pay attention to whether the market can reclaim above 9.85. On the 4-hour chart, if the short-term continues to maintain a downward trend, the lower MA256 moving average around 9.5 will become a short-term support level. Focus on the gains and losses at this level.
From the daily chart of Ethereum, there has been a significant adjustment directly breaking below the daily MA30 moving average. The price is actively retracing to the MA60 moving average around 3250. At the weekly level, there is also a possibility of retracing to the MA10 moving average around 3250. Pay attention to the effectiveness of support at this level; if it touches for the first time, consider making a small long position.
Afternoon Operation Thoughts (Written at: 13:30):
BTC: Short near 100,000/9.88, target 9.8/9.5; Long near 9.5/9.4, target 9.8/100,000
ETH: Short near 3500/3560, target 3400/3250; Long near 3250/3200, target 3400/3500
Medium to Long-term Trend: For Bitcoin, pay attention to whether the price can close above the daily MA30 moving average at 9.85. If it holds, expect weak fluctuations; conversely, if it breaks down, it may enter a significant correction phase. For Ethereum, focus on the support at 3250; if touched, it is expected to rebound, so pay attention to the strength of the rebound for judgment.
The daily analysis strategy has a very high win rate! Analysis is not easy, so I hope everyone can give a free follow, bookmark, like, and comment. Thank you all, and feel free to leave comments below; I will reply one by one!
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