2025 Development Forecast for Crypto x AI: Total Market Value May Grow to $250 Billion, Large Numbers of "Copy-Paste" AI Agents Will Be Eliminated

CN
1 year ago

By the end of 2025, agent-driven on-chain transactions will account for over 10% of all blockchain transactions.

Author: Tommy, Delphi Digital Co-Founder

Compiled by: Deep Tide TechFlow

Here are some predictions about the intersection of Crypto and AI in 2025. These are casually thought-out viewpoints and may not be entirely accurate, but hopefully, they provide some food for thought.

  • A practical model with 100 billion parameters may emerge through decentralized training, or a smaller-scale model with 1 billion parameters.

  • A large number of small models fine-tuned on specific data will emerge, supporting thousands of differentiated Crypto x AI agents. While these models may be small individually, the overall "swarm effect" they create could have a profound impact on the functionality of various agents.

  • The total market capitalization of Crypto x AI could grow from the current $45 billion to over $250 billion (data source: Coingecko). Many projects that have been quietly developed for years will gradually go live, especially those agent tokens that cannot rely on traditional AI platforms (like ChatGPT) will experience explosive growth.

  • The functionality of agents will be significantly enhanced, gradually shifting from programmatic operations to achieving semi-autonomous decision-making in complex scenarios. They will be able to manage their own wallets, issue tokens, pay transaction fees, and run protocol logic with minimal human intervention, thereby completely transforming DeFi.

  • A large number of single-function AI agent influencers (99%) will be eliminated due to their boring copy-paste responses, as users have grown tired of the spam from these agents.

  • An AI agent successfully scammed a large amount of money with the help of a few humans through an interesting but fake project.

  • A popular AI agent was revealed to be a scam, actually controlled by humans who managed its tweets. This will drive the industry's demand for verification of agent reasoning processes, and Trusted Execution Environments (TEE) will become a necessary condition for development.

  • The behind-the-scenes interactions between agents will reach a large scale. This will not just be simple interactions on social media, but large-scale communications similar to "backroom conversations," which will enhance their model capabilities and influence final decisions.

  • People will gradually become aware of OpenAI's control over its AI models and potential biases, beginning to demand more transparency and auditability, while a portion of users will turn to decentralized solutions in Crypto x AI.

  • Traditional AI developers from San Francisco will gradually move into the Crypto x AI space. By issuing tokens, they can quickly break away from Web2 AI labs while rapidly raising funds and building communities.

  • By the end of 2025, wallet-based large language models (LLM) will become a common way to interact with blockchains, with over 10% of regular users expected to complete transactions this way. Users will only need to input their intent, and AI will handle the request and complete the transaction through a solver network.

  • With the launch of Crypto x AI infrastructure projects, the transition from Web2 to Web3 infrastructure will become a trend. These projects include new AI-based L1 blockchains, coordination networks, reasoning networks, and decentralized IoT (Depin) networks that provide computing and storage capabilities.

  • Meta will continue to release new models in an open-source manner, especially its next-generation models, which may continue the open-source strategy of Llama 405b.

  • Elon Musk may win or make significant progress in his lawsuit against OpenAI. Bold prediction: due to talent loss and internal issues, OpenAI's performance may not meet expectations.

  • Apple's AI system may achieve unexpected progress, becoming extremely practical compared to its current state of almost no usage.

  • By the end of 2025, agent-driven on-chain transactions will account for over 10% of all blockchain transactions.

  • Delphi Ventures will complete at least 2 investments submitted and analyzed by @DelphAI_Bot.

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