Tonight at 9:30 PM, the U.S. non-farm payroll data for November will be released, and the market's focus will shift to this non-farm report. The market expects an increase of 183,000 in non-farm employment. Last month, non-farm employment only increased by 12,000, far below expectations. Hurricane Milton caused a significant number of workers to lose their jobs in Florida, but these issues have now been resolved, so this week's non-farm employment numbers may be higher. Some analysts even predict that employment numbers could reach around 220,000. The unemployment rate is also a key indicator to watch before the Federal Reserve's December meeting. If the unemployment rate rises to 4.2% and employment numbers are unexpectedly weak, the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December increases, which could lead to a weaker dollar.

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However, I personally feel that the market is unlikely to experience significant volatility tonight; instead, it may see a rebound. Given the current market situation, the sharp fluctuations on Thursday night have completed the necessary adjustments, and the technical indicators at the medium and small levels are recovering rapidly. Therefore, the possibility of another sharp "fluctuation" tonight is relatively low. If tonight's non-farm data is negative, the market may believe that a rate cut this month is unlikely, which could weaken the trend. But based on my current judgment, the probability of this scenario occurring is low.

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In Friday's intraday market, Bitcoin has been recovering slowly in a fluctuating upward trend, reaching a high of around 98,858. Ethereum has recovered from its earlier low to the current high of around 3,932. From a four-hour perspective, the price is also in a rising phase, consolidating near the mid-line, having confirmed support multiple times during the day and moving sideways. Since the support below remains strong and effective, the price will consolidate sideways, using time to build momentum for the bulls. In the short cycle, the price experienced a significant pullback, confirming support, and after a rapid recovery by the bulls, it has entered a pause, with the price in a slow upward and winding state. The bulls regaining higher positions is merely a matter of time.

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Currently, there is no direct continuation of the downward trend, but rather a corrective rebound. Therefore, tonight's strategy should be to decisively go long at low levels and patiently wait for the market to further repair and rise. Do not be swayed by panic emotions; maintain a calm and rational investment attitude. The market is approaching our target profit position, and it may be wise to take some profits while keeping those positions with larger unrealized gains. If you are still hoping for continuous sharp fluctuations in the market, it may indicate a misunderstanding of the current market. Continuing to be bearish will only lead to being trapped at low levels, missing this repair opportunity.

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In this market, ultimately, it comes down to ability. If your ability is insufficient, the market will eventually take back what it has given you. Therefore, when your wealth exceeds your ability, you need to control your drawdown, although this control may be futile, as that kind of arrogance and hubris in profits will ultimately destroy a person's rationality. However, we do not need to worry about our wealth being below our ability in the capital market because such disharmony will eventually be corrected by time. If it has not been corrected, there is only one reason: your ability is insufficient. If you are still in a state of confusion, not understanding the technology, unable to read the market, not knowing when to enter, unable to set stop losses, not knowing when to take profits, randomly increasing positions, getting trapped while trying to catch the bottom, unable to hold onto profits during volatility, and missing opportunities when the market moves, these are common issues among retail investors. But it’s okay; come to me, and I will guide you to think correctly about trading. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words; rather than repeatedly losing, come find Yibo! Frequent operations are not as good as precise trades; let each trade be valuable. What you need to do is find Yibo, and what we need to do is prove that our words are not empty. 24-hour real-time guidance, the market fluctuates relatively quickly. Due to the effectiveness of the review, for the subsequent market trends, the focus will be on real-time arrangements. Friends who need contract guidance can scan the QR code below the article to add my public account.

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