If the financing route for AI agent development through methods similar to ICO can be successful, we naturally have to ask how large the potential market space for this track might be.
I believe this entirely depends on the size of the potential user base it can serve.
At this stage, since the users who understand this track are primarily those within the crypto ecosystem, the user base is limited to the crypto ecosystem. The services that users in this ecosystem need will determine what kind of AI agents will emerge.
For example, a popular tool recently is AIXBT, which serves to search for trending topics on Twitter and identify current hot projects. This function meets the needs of a significant portion of users looking for crypto projects within the crypto ecosystem.
In the future, if this model continues to grow, is it possible that not only users from the crypto ecosystem but also traditional Web 2.0 users might join this track and use this method to finance the development of AI agents for use in Web 2.0?
I believe this is possible.
During the peak of ICO craziness in 2017, some domestic companies, unable to list on the A-share market, considered using ICO financing within the crypto ecosystem to cash out.
Thus, in that immature era, applications in the crypto ecosystem briefly ventured outside their original scope.
If this track can indeed become popular enough to attract developers of Web 2.0 AI agents, the potential user base will expand to the traditional Web 2.0 ecosystem, breaking out again after ICO.
However, even if it develops to this point, I believe it is not the most promising aspect.
In the interview I mentioned in my article yesterday, the interviewee stated the following:
"You will have a virtual world with 100 different AI Agents, each with a unique personality. As players, we can enter to date, become hobby enthusiasts, or pursue becoming the world's richest person, etc. These AI Agents can earn money because they are independent entities with their own wallets."
I strongly resonate with this vision.
Imagine that when we reach that day, it would mean that the number of AI agents in existence could very well exceed that of real human users.
The following statement from the interviewee is even more thought-provoking:
"An Agent wanting to become popular might not write a song; it could pay another Agent to write one. Or if it needs cryptocurrency data analysis, it could find another Agent specialized in that area. This creates an Autonomous Agent Economy or Agent Commerce, where Agents can trade with each other because each Agent has its own wallet and can pay for services to achieve its goals."
This scenario implies that AI agents could potentially create their own AI agents, ultimately forming a parallel AI agent world alongside the human world.
So if this model can develop to that point, the potential imaginative space for this track would be quite large.
Of course, there are still many uncertainties in this process.
For instance, while the AI agents developed now can solve some problems, will the existing technology continue to support the development of more complex AI agents as user demands evolve?
After all, if the technological foundation for AI agent development is lacking, and the functions of the developed AI agents are too simplistic, this track won't go very far.
Additionally, how far can this financing method support projects? What level of projects can it fund?
If the projects supported by this method cannot go very far, and there is no subsequent financing to continue supporting project growth, the functions of AI agents will also be limited, which will restrict the development of this financing method.
Finally, this financing method is essentially very similar to ICO; it may not pose problems when the scale is small, but once it grows large, will it encounter regulatory obstacles (especially from the U.S. government)? This point may not be clear until next year when the new U.S. president takes office and formal policies regarding crypto ecosystem regulation are introduced.
In summary, this is a nascent track. We can envision its future, but we must also recognize the many uncertainties it faces. How far this track can go, I estimate we will only see signs of it next year.
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