Analyst Chen Shu: 11.27 Midnight Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Strategy *No. 2, Trend Reversal Bearish if 9.45 Cannot Hold, Then Short
On November 26, the midday analysis provided a short strategy idea, with Bitcoin suggesting a short at 9.6 and Ethereum suggesting a long at 3380 along with a follow-up short strategy for Ethereum. Bitcoin did not reach the entry point and has since pulled back. Currently, with a weak short-term downward fluctuation, please see the following analysis for operational guidance.
From the daily chart, Bitcoin closed with a large bearish candlestick yesterday. Although today it has formed a small bullish candlestick, the rebound strength is weak and it has not been able to regain the daily MA10 moving average (9.46), indicating an overall weak pullback trend. On the 4-hour chart, after the intraday rebound broke below the MA60 moving average, it also failed to rebound back above it, showing insufficient buying strength. Pay close attention to the stability of the MA256 moving average (9.45) on the 1-hour chart. If the subsequent fluctuations and adjustments cannot regain this level, it will signal a short-term pullback trend, with the possibility of breaking below the $90,000 mark. Keep an eye on this level.
From the daily chart, Ethereum's movement today follows Bitcoin's pullback trend, breaking below the MA5 moving average but holding above the MA10 moving average. Pay attention to the stability of the MA5/10 moving averages going forward. On the 4-hour chart, after breaking below the MA30 moving average, the rebound is weak. If it continues to maintain a weak fluctuation trend, there is a risk of further pullback to 3250/3180.
Midnight Operational Thoughts (Written at: 02:00):
BTC: Light short near 9.4, add to short on rebound at 9.47, target 9.3-9.2; consider going long in the 8.88-9k range.
ETH: Light short near 3340, add to short on rebound at 3380, target 3250/3180; consider short-term long below 3200.
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