The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui talking about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens.
Yesterday's article was somewhat chaotic because this article itself is a compilation of two days, and the developments on the military front have been too rapid. At the end of yesterday's article, it was mentioned that Bitcoin has already become a safe-haven asset. Many friends were still refuting Lao Cui's viewpoint, but today's surge directly shattered everyone's opinions. Many friends' views remain stuck in the attributes of safe-haven assets like gold, continuously ignoring the growth in the crypto space. The attribute of being a safe haven is indeed very difficult to define. Lao Cui cannot judge whether Bitcoin will become a long-term safe-haven choice in the future. However, at this stage, the safe-haven attribute is fully realized. Firstly, no market can outperform the financial attributes of the United States, especially with the recent strength of the dollar, which only Bitcoin has successfully overcome. Secondly, in the event of large-scale conflicts, the transfer within the crypto space is very convenient; so far, the only available channel is within the crypto space. It is important to note that short-term volatility will definitely be very intense, especially for those transferring assets through the crypto space. Once capital is withdrawn, it will certainly lead to short-term fluctuations. Thirdly, this wave of movement basically confirms that a rate cut in December is imminent, which is almost identical to our predictions (we will revisit this in December). In terms of the overall direction, do not expect deep corrections; spot users must dare to enter the market first to have future gains.
In this article, I originally wanted to explain the reasons for Bitcoin being a safe-haven asset in the short term. However, Lao Cui feels that there is no need to elaborate on this volatility; everyone just needs to remember that the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict will lead to short-term growth. On the long-term level, there will be someone to support the bottom; the current trend has also given us an answer, as each new high has hardly ever seen a pullback of more than 3000 points. Let go of the fantasy about Ethereum; the current capital volume can only support the crazy growth of Bitcoin. It is the one supporting the rise of other coins, and the patterns of rising are almost one-third of Bitcoin's amplitude. The investment value compared to Bitcoin is not significant. Although SOL's increase is considerable, this form of investment can only be attempted by users who cannot purchase Bitcoin. The mindset for investing in SOL should only be to accumulate original capital; do not expect returns equivalent to Bitcoin when viewing SOL. Bitcoin's market value has almost reached a cumulative capital of 2 trillion, accounting for nearly two-thirds of the entire crypto space. You can discard unrealistic fantasies; letting go of burdens will allow for better investment.
The inflow of funds in the chart below clearly indicates which coins can be invested in and which cannot. Nearly a month into the bull market, Bitcoin has shown a net inflow of 1.4 billion, while Ethereum has surprisingly shown negative growth, with an outflow of 600 million in assets. This can only indicate that the big players are cashing out madly during this bull market, while retail investors are tightly holding onto their chips. This stage of the bull market cannot create new historical highs. As for investing in Ethereum, over time, it can only lead to its demise. Ethereum is definitely not a coin to invest too much energy in; as for investing in Ethereum, it has almost lost its competitiveness. Everyone should be clear about a logic: currently, the attributes of Bitcoin and Ethereum can no longer be considered part of the crypto investment market. The listing of these two is almost linked to traditional capital. Ethereum's performance is entirely aimed at harvesting traditional capital, but it has backfired, resulting in the current situation. Fortunately, a month ago, Lao Cui had already informed everyone to discard Ethereum's spot; even if it was a tenfold leverage, one should join Bitcoin's bull market expressway. As for investing in Ethereum, you can completely ignore it. There will still be growth later, but it is not worth continuing to hold. To put it bluntly, compared to the returns of the bull market, Ethereum does not deserve your investment.
Regarding the overall trend of Bitcoin, Lao Cui can directly tell everyone that the current entry point is to observe when the 100,000 point will arrive. Do not think that 100,000 is still a high point; the real high point was after Trump took office, when strategies for the crypto space were adjusted. Currently, your opportunity lies in the rate cut in December and Trump's stance towards the crypto space. These two factors will push Bitcoin to its historical highest point, and that will be the time for you to consider taking profits and exiting. The historical high will definitely be born next year, and when to exit will become the timing you need to consider. The current arrangement for users holding assets is to wait for 100,000; after the rate cut in December, those who need to use funds can withdraw a portion to enjoy life, while another portion waits for Trump's orders. If the attitude changes, withdraw immediately. Currently, it is very difficult to reach the entry points in your hands; what you need to do is guard against the withdrawal of short-term funds. Foreign investments have a habit of summarizing financial reports at the end of the year; this juncture may lead to the withdrawal of profitable funds related to foreign trade and foreign exchange, seeking favorable financial report data. Keep a close eye on the exchange rate; any fluctuations may indicate the timing for investment banks to withdraw. Just need to guard against this wave.
For users who have not yet entered the market, do not hope for a deep correction. Everyone wants to wait for the lowest point to enter, but being influenced by the anchoring effect will only lead to missing investment opportunities. The most unwise thing to think about in investing is actually to buy at the lowest point. The best investment time for Ethereum recently was actually at 800; Lao Cui believes everyone has seen it at 800. At that time, Lao Cui's entry point was at 1200. Looking back from a god's perspective, this investment was undoubtedly successful, but from the perspective at that time, Lao Cui faced a week of criticism. Moreover, when the market returned to 1200, most users had already cashed out, thinking only about preserving their principal. Those who could follow Lao Cui to reach 3000 were almost few. Looking back, it seems that those who exited early suffered losses; at that time, Lao Cui also felt that everyone was better off being conservative. It is not about right or wrong, but rather the different controls over the situation. The current trend is almost no different from the past; the impact of Russia-Ukraine has not been maximized. It can be said that Russia's counterattack is long overdue. Once the impact of Russia-Ukraine is maximized, it may directly push the market towards the 100,000 mark, which is an inevitable trend that can be foreseen within the year.
How you choose Lao Cui's viewpoint is already very clear. Of course, if your investment perspective believes that the remaining 3000 points are not important, you can still ignore this round of trends. Lao Cui also leans towards the cautious side and still needs to emphasize the trend. The great opportunity in the crypto space, for those who want to change their social class, is likely the only opportunity in history. Regarding the so-called legalization by the United States, looking at history as a timeline, this short term may be viewed in years, and it will definitely create miracles belonging to the financial market. However, the nature of the crypto space is decentralization. Once it is controlled by relevant authorities, it loses its core ideology. How future careers will unfold, Lao Cui cannot guarantee. Legal compliance means losing the characteristic of being untraceable. Once crypto assets become traceable traditional financial attributes, it means that the emergence of Bitcoin has deviated from its original intention, and its unique value can only prove that blockchain once flourished. Compliance basically announces that Bitcoin's future is foreseeable; all attributes have a center, which gives birth to the next decentralized grassroots market. Therefore, for Bitcoin investment, your choices can also be seen as a foreseeable trend. The opportunity is likely only this time; whether you can seize it depends on your own choices! Finally, I remind you that from a financial perspective, looking at the integration of all financial markets, Bitcoin's current trend is still in a period where entry is possible at any time. Looking back at this year's investment next year, you will definitely thank your choices this year!
Original creation by WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.
Lao Cui's Message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even dozens of steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation and strategizes for the big picture, not focusing on one piece or one territory, aiming for the ultimate victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent entrapment.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!
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