The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui who talks about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens.

Today, I will present a teaching article. Friends who have been following Lao Cui for the past two years mostly have doubts. Why does Lao Cui's grasp of trends hardly deviate, and even every round of bull markets is ambushed in advance, almost perfectly capturing the entire trend? Today, Lao Cui will share his skills with everyone, and you can also use this method to filter out these so-called analysts in the coin circle. First of all, the work of an analyst must be supported by a large amount of data to deduce the entire trend process, rather than relying on mere words to emphasize the final result. Lao Cui has also read many articles by analysts in the coin circle, and many friends actually have an overly subjective understanding of finance. Most people emphasize results while ignoring the process, perhaps thinking that the process is difficult for everyone to understand. However, most analysts themselves do not even understand why this result occurs. Emphasizing results while ignoring the process leads to a debate mentality that easily falls into subjective judgment, often without self-awareness.

For example, Lao Cui has found that everyone loves to hear stories. Starting in March of this year, when Lao Cui laid out long positions, he mentioned that based on past data, the U.S. interest rate cuts were certain this year (I won't elaborate on this process; those interested can look for Lao Cui's previous articles, which have detailed explanations). Since it was confirmed that interest rate cuts were certain, the spot market could already prepare to enter. At that time, it was still considered a bear market phase, so this viewpoint was subject to much skepticism. Lao Cui mentioned that this year would refresh historical highs, but indeed, being in a low position and speaking lightly only brought him criticism. Human nature is such that laying out the next phase of the bull market during a bear market will not be understood by most people. The more people do not understand, the more it proves that this bull market will definitely come. At that time, Lao Cui mentioned three points: first, listing; second, interest rate cuts; third, Trump coming to power. Achieving any two of these would push the coin circle above 70,000, and achieving all three would create a new round of highs. At that time, it was actually impossible to see the high point of this bull market. From March to April, the performance of U.S. stocks and gold was quite impressive, so most people's viewpoints were almost all focused on speculating on gold, including Lao Cui's users, who also entered the market.

Looking further ahead, at the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war, Lao Cui reminded everyone that military, energy, gold, and essential goods industries could be invested in, but the number of users who entered the market was less than five. People indeed cannot earn wealth beyond their understanding. Investment vision must be long-term; even in the process of accumulating original capital, a yearly investment perspective is needed. Perhaps the coin circle has given everyone too many illusions, as a wave of bull markets is almost completed within six months, which has led many friends to have higher expectations for the coin circle. Many newcomers entering the coin circle almost come with the expectation of hundredfold or thousandfold miracles to communicate with Lao Cui. This type of user is indeed difficult for Lao Cui to communicate with; their mindset is already skewed upon entering the industry. Even if they start operating, they are basically people who will announce their exit from the coin market within one to three months. Lao Cui can also be very straightforward with everyone: users who only do spot trading, especially those focused on Bitcoin and Ethereum, must have earned their own wealth, and the returns have been substantial from start to finish. As for users who are just starting to buy Bitcoin now, Lao Cui frankly tells you that your returns in this bull market may only exist below 40%. However, this is just the return within half a year, which is the overall return of this bull market.

Users who only do spot trading have their annual returns almost controlled within the range of 50% to 70%. If you want particularly large profits, Lao Cui indeed cannot achieve that. I originally wanted to take it easy and present this article to everyone, but last night it set a new historical high again, and the remaining half of the article will return to the market itself. After looking at the market analysis, many friends believe that yesterday's fluctuations were normal driven by capital. Lao Cui's thoughts are indeed different. The upward movement is entirely due to the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine situation; military matters outweigh everything. Lao Cui has always been reluctant to delve deeply into military aspects because they inevitably involve politics, which is a sensitive topic. The visit of the Ukrainian foreign minister to China and the meeting between Biden and the two heads of state made Lao Cui think it was to resolve military impacts, including Biden granting Ukraine missile permissions. The previous viewpoint was always to increase negotiation leverage. Unexpectedly, under Russia's strong threats, even the concept of nuclear weapons was released, and the driver still dared to play this way. To put it bluntly, last night's capital in the coin circle was waiting for Russia's response. Once the war escalates, the coin circle may rise again. This is why Lao Cui reminded everyone late at night that Bitcoin might create a historical new high. At four in the morning, I deleted it because I was afraid that those who got up early would see this message and get the wrong impression that it would rise today.

At this point, I believe everyone has questions. Why does the coin circle crash during conflicts in the Middle East, such as between Iran and Israel? Why does the Russia-Ukraine situation lead to a rise? These are different levels of influence. Local wars only lead to surges in energy and gold, while expanded wars require consideration of more channels for asset transportation. Currently, the smoothest channel between countries is the coin circle. The influence of the Russia-Ukraine situation involves almost all major powers in the world, whether through risk aversion or asset transportation, which will cause short-term growth in the coin circle. Therefore, everyone's focus can be on how Russia responds. Once the war expands, it can perfectly solve the funding gap issue in the coin circle before December, and there may even be a possibility of explosive growth. Even if the war does not expand, waiting for the interest rate cuts in December, everyone can still profit. Users with certain assets can consider entering the market at this stage. The growth from last night to today has not shown significant depth in retracement, and everyone should not always expect deep corrections in the coin circle, especially Bitcoin. The occurrence of deep corrections will only provide opportunities for other major assets to enter. Normal fluctuations will stabilize between 2000-3000 points, and the speed of rising after a correction will definitely be very fast.

Historical opportunities are not available every year. The growth of Bitcoin this time can be said to have gathered too much capital and policy support. The upper space is still very large, and with military support, the upper space will increase by at least 5000 points. The focus is on how Russia responds. There is no major problem with ambushing in advance. Do not underestimate Russia; at the beginning of the year, foreign risk-controlled assets were transported through Bitcoin, pushing Bitcoin up by another 2000 points. This growth will only exceed the previous space. For short-term trading, this is a speculative form, and it depends on your own choices. The current assessment shows that the benefits indeed outweigh the risks. Lao Cui will still choose to enter some long positions at low levels today, just to see if the subsequent trend can continue. If it reaches a new high again at the end of November, there will be no reason for a correction in December. It can be said that every month is beneficial for the growth of the coin circle. Everyone must seize this opportunity. As for those who are shorting, just wait for the December speculation on the non-interest rate cut trend; there may still be a correction depth of over 3000 points, which is your opportunity to break even. At the end of the article, I remind everyone that Bitcoin at this stage is considered a safe-haven asset. If you do not understand this issue, you can discuss it privately with Lao Cui. As for why it is a safe-haven asset, Lao Cui will analyze and discuss it with everyone later.

Original article created by WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, you can contact directly.

Lao Cui's Message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even more than ten moves ahead, while a novice can only see two or three. The master considers the overall situation and plans for the big picture, not focusing on one piece or one territory, aiming for the final victory. The novice, on the other hand, fights for every inch of land, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, and often finds themselves trapped.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。