Analyst Chen Shu: 11.11 Afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Strategy *No. 1, Successful Profit-Taking on Long Positions, Looking for a Correction in the Evening
The analysis provided on the afternoon of November 10 suggested a strategy for going long and adding to long positions on corrections. Bitcoin has risen from yesterday's 79,000 to nearly 82,000 at present, while Ethereum has yet to start its catch-up rally. The following analysis discusses how to maintain strength at high levels in the short term.
From the daily chart of Bitcoin, yesterday's daily candle closed up nearly 5%, briefly breaking through the 80,000 psychological barrier. The overall market remains strong with a one-sided trend; looking at the 4-hour chart, after several consecutive bullish candles, the largest pullback has only reached the 4-hour MA10 moving average, steadily moving upwards along the 5-day moving average. Currently, there are no signs of a peak, and even if a peak is reached, it would need to fail after a pullback to truly enter a correction trend. Therefore, unless the 4-hour MA10 moving average is broken or there is a significant pullback followed by a failed second peak, one should continue to go long.
From the daily chart of Ethereum, yesterday's candle showed upper and lower shadows, pulling back near the daily MA256 moving average (3066) before bouncing back, indicating that this support level is holding. However, there is a divergence between bulls and bears in the short term. In the phase where Ethereum has not followed Bitcoin to break new highs, the 4-hour chart is oscillating around the MA5/10 moving averages. If Bitcoin continues to break upwards, then Ethereum can be expected to catch up.
Afternoon Trading Strategy (Written at: 13:30):
BTC: Light long positions near 8.1, add to long positions on a pullback to 8.05, target around 1500 points, can trade back and forth.
ETH: Light long positions near 3160, add to long positions on a pullback to 3130, target at 3300, if broken, can reduce positions and hold for 3380 (catch-up rally).
Note: Currently, Bitcoin is performing strongly in the short term, while Ethereum shows a divergence between bulls and bears. One can look forward to whether Bitcoin's later catch-up rally will break above the 3500 high. Additionally, it is important to pay attention to the movements of the U.S. stock market.
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