Today's new high has broken through $80,000, which goes without saying. There are still no detailed data on URPD, and although #BTC has risen, #ETH has also performed well, with the exchange rate returning above 0.04. It's quite challenging. However, due to the good rise over the weekend, it has led to a problem: when the market opens on Monday, there should be a gap up for both BTC and ETH on the CME.
While gaps can be somewhat mystical, most of them have indeed been filled. Since 2021, ETH has only one gap between $1,436 and $1,525 that hasn't been filled. BTC only has two early gaps that remain unfilled: one between $9,300 and $9,500, and another between $20,400 and $21,000. All other gaps have been filled.
Tomorrow, BTC will likely have a gap between $77,930 and $79,500, while ETH should have a gap between $3,010 and $3,210. I have previously conducted statistics, and based on the ratios, there is a 47.82% chance that a gap will be filled within a week, a 60.86% chance within two weeks, and a 78.26% chance within three weeks. Additionally, over the past four years, the overall gap filling rate has reached 92%.
Therefore, there is nearly an 80% probability that this gap may be filled within a month. Of course, this is just a statistical probability and not a certainty. Never equate probability with inevitability.
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