I have mentioned many times before that Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 are periods I am very optimistic about, provided there are no black swan events or economic recessions. After Q1 2025, we will need to see if there are any new positive developments, such as continued interest rate cuts, a halt to balance sheet reduction, Trump starting to fulfill his promises, the passing of SAB121 and FIT21, and the approval of ETH spot ETF staking—these are all potential positive occurrences.

On the downside, there is a high possibility of an economic recession triggered by high interest rates, a trading downturn caused by rising unemployment rates, risk aversion stemming from significant interest rate hikes in Japan, inflation fluctuations leading to a shift in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, or the escalation of wars, among other possibilities. Especially before interest rates drop below 3.5%, it is hard to say that the economic crisis will be resolved.

So, for now, the next two quarters are worth looking forward to. There may be pitfalls between Christmas and January 20, but other than that, we just hope there are no economic issues.

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