"End of September: Why You Should Hold Strong Until the End of 2025?"

Note: This article was written on September 27, in response to noticing that many group friends are still lightly invested or even out of the market, which I believe is not advisable. Therefore, I wrote this article suggesting to hold strong and not to predict. Today, I plan to update with a systematic article to correct and supplement some thoughts. This article is publicly released for followers and also serves as a reference for myself.

Recently, the market has improved, and there may be a very small number of group friends still out of the market. From today's perspective, how should we view the next month, three months, or six months? How should small and large funds operate?

Today is the weekend, and I will systematically sort out some thoughts, which also serves as a summary after more than a year of group establishment.

1. What has been done in the past year

I have tried to clarify some basic concepts in my investment system to friends and work together, such as:

No predictions—because we cannot predict.

I share information; you make your own decisions.

Making your own decisions mainly relies on being precise + holding strong.

The cryptocurrency market changes rapidly; preserving capital is the priority—therefore, the three strategies of doubling to recoup capital, taking profits on pullbacks, and cutting losses are very important when speculating!

Looking back over the past year, the real big opportunities can be summarized into six waves:

• Bitcoin above 20,000 allowed everyone to get on board; the bull market is coming.
• The second wave of inscriptions, hitting sats and rats.
• $pandora
• $bome
• The reduction in holdings and exit from most altcoins at the end of April.
• The potential sixth wave is that the recent market looks very similar to when Bitcoin was above 20,000 (if Bitcoin breaks 100,000 in the next few months, that might be correct).

Other operations have generally been very risky, unprofitable, or slightly losing, especially in the last six months, where all altcoins have declined—almost anything done has been wrong. In this situation, some investment common sense and logic can help not to avoid losses but to minimize them.

2. Looking back today, what to persist in

A year has passed, and everyone should have gained something and grown, but there should also be many unsatisfactory aspects. Standing at this position today, unlike looking back at myself every year, month, or week and feeling like a fool, I believe my investment system has matured significantly. I know that continuing this way will make me an investment expert across both the cryptocurrency and stock markets; the only thing I need to consider is timing.

Today, I will briefly outline my current system, which has become indistinguishable in terms of precision + how much to hold. Please take this version as the standard; it is very concise, with only a few points remaining:

First point: Precision and holding strong are the foundation and the ultimate goal.

The cryptocurrency market is a speculative place; speculation requires betting, and at critical moments, you need to bet big. A single wave can turn things around, but can you make money by betting big? No one really knows; perhaps everyone needs a bit of luck—if we assume bad luck, then we must use the previously mentioned strategies of doubling to recoup capital, taking profits on pullbacks, and cutting losses to ensure there is a chance for the next bet.

Second point: Bitcoin has value, Ethereum may have value, and everything else currently has no value.

After buying Bitcoin, there may not be another cycle; there might be, but it won't drop 70% like in the past, so please hold on to it like a family heirloom—assuming it will reach 200,000 or even 1,000,000 in the future.

Currently, there are many FUDs surrounding Ethereum, but I have still invested in some. At present, I do not see the possibility of it being surpassed—although Solana and Sui are desperately pushing a lot of data.

But if you ask me how Ethereum will perform in 5 or 10 years, I can't be sure. However, from a speculative perspective, it is still a very good target for the next year or two—even if it is just a speculative target.

Everything else has no value, meaning they can only be thought of and operated from a speculative angle.

Third point: Memes are the biggest opportunity for small funds.

If you have small funds, don't worry about anything else; just focus on memes.

In terms of memes, my sharing and records can be reviewed in detail—I rarely invest in small pools, but the overall hit rate of my major holdings is very high. It is definitely not just coincidence. I don't have much else to elaborate on this; just reviewing more should yield insights.

Additionally, it is especially important to pay attention to the projects I participate in (first assume you will lose money, then use the strategies of doubling to recoup capital, taking profits on pullbacks, and cutting losses to stay safe. If 4 out of 5 opportunities lose, each losing 20%, as long as one of them is like the big opportunities mentioned above, you will make a lot of money).

I also hope that in the coming months, we can have another opportunity like Ordi, Bome, or Pandora; this is something we can only pray for together.

(Note on November 10: Investing 200 million in Goat for several times return is also a good opportunity.)

3. How to operate in the next few months and years?

For large funds, don't mess around, and don't predict! Hold Bitcoin until the end of 2025—by then, interest rate cuts will have ended, and even if there are black swan events in between, there should be a rebound. The current assumption is that both China and the U.S. will inject liquidity, which will take time to spill over, and those who made money in the stock market will come to the cryptocurrency market.

If the funds are extremely large, holding only Bitcoin is not safe; I recommend allocating to U.S. stocks and A-shares. U.S. stocks are good but currently high, while A-shares are poor but consistently low. However, I only recommend leading projects; don't be afraid of slow growth; prioritize safety.

For medium funds, I still recommend Bitcoin + ETH + SOL, with the latter two mainly used for on-chain needs.

For small funds, I suggest ETH + SOL, always hoping to earn more ETH or SOL through on-chain activities.

Finally, some friends may be confused: U.S. stocks are so high, and Buffett has also reduced his holdings by 50%. Is it risky to go all in now? Of course, it is. But since the market is difficult to predict, what should we do?

Then we can only let our targets be more resilient to downturns to cope with extreme situations—finally, I want to emphasize that following anyone's trades is wrong, even Buffett's. You can choose to be 50% out of the market or fully invested, but in either case, it should not be because someone else is doing it.

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