What are the non-obvious truths or false beliefs in crypto right now?

Spotting these early can help you catch a new narrative before it gains traction.

As @mattigags points out, the goal is to either be at the start of a potential narrative or wait for clarity before acting.

Easy to say, hard to implement in practice.

This requires identifying non-obvious truths—those unique insights that haven’t been picked up by the crowd.

Examples from last cycle:

• Obvious and True: "Crypto will suffer from rate hikes."

• Non-Obvious and True: "Stablecoins have the best product-market fit in crypto."

• Obvious and False: "Crypto is an inflation hedge."

• Non-Obvious and False: "The new shiny L1 trade is over."

If you knew that "The new shiny L1 trade is over" was false, you could've invested in $SOL early.

So, what are some examples from the current cycle?

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