On November 15 (Eastern Time, around 8 PM Singapore Time), the U.S. election will begin. As of the time of writing, Trump has a slight advantage in the popular vote, but having more popular votes does not mean Trump will be elected as the next President of the United States.

U.S. Election

The U.S. election refers to the selection of senior officials of the U.S. federal government, including the President, Vice President, and members of Congress (House of Representatives and Senate). The entire process is relatively complex, involving multiple steps and key timelines. Below is the specific process and timeline of the U.S. election:

(1) Election Process

 (1) Nomination Stage

Primaries: States usually hold primaries or party conventions early in the election year (typically from January to June), where voters choose their preferred candidates. Primaries are mainly divided into open and closed primaries.
National Convention: Each party holds a national convention in the summer (usually in July or August) to formally nominate candidates, determine the vice-presidential candidate, and adopt the party platform.

(2) Campaign Stage

General Election Campaign: From the end of the national convention in the summer until Election Day (November), candidates engage in nationwide campaigning, including debates and rallies.
Debates: Several public debates between presidential and vice-presidential candidates are usually scheduled, providing candidates with an important opportunity to showcase their policies and competitiveness.

(3) Voting Stage

Election Day Voting: Voters in each state select electors on the first Tuesday of November. (Some states allow early voting before the official election day, with times varying by state)

Electors: Electors represent their state in voting to confirm the election of the new President and Vice President of the United States.

(4) Election Results

Electoral College: Electors formally vote for the President and Vice President in the Electoral College meeting in December. The number of electors from each state is equal to its number of congressional representatives.

(5) Inauguration Stage

Inauguration Ceremony: The elected President is sworn in on January 20 of the following year.

In other words, currently, Trump's votes are leading in the popular vote over Harris, but this does not mean that the new President of the United States next year will be Trump; it still needs to go through the Electoral College vote, and Harris still has a chance for a comeback.

In the history of U.S. elections, there have been instances where the presidential candidate elected on Election Day was not the same as the one who ultimately took office:

In the 2016 presidential election, Trump trailed Clinton in the popular vote but won in the Electoral College, ultimately becoming President.

In 1888, a similar situation occurred where Cleveland received more popular votes than Harrison, but Harrison won more votes in the Electoral College and became the 23rd President of the United States.

Efficient Profit Tools

In fact, regardless of who is elected President of the United States, the market will inevitably speculate on expectations first, so we need to focus on how to find current trading opportunities. Below are five effective auxiliary tools shared by the AICoin (aicoin.com) editor:

1. Chip Peaks

• Support Level: Located below the price, if the support level holds, the price rebounds; if it breaks the support level, the market declines rapidly;

• Resistance Level: Located above the price, if the resistance level holds, the price retraces; if it breaks the resistance level, the price rises rapidly.

Experience it now: https://www.aicoin.com/vip

For example, you can analyze the chip peak situation over the past week and find the most recent chip peak as support and resistance:

2. Major Orders

1) Total Order Difference: Buy orders indicate bearish sentiment before execution; sell orders indicate bullish sentiment before execution.

Generally, major orders will be at significant levels, especially those with long hanging times and large amounts. Additionally, pay attention to orders that are close to the current price and dense, or large orders near moving averages/chip peaks/Fibonacci retracement levels, as they indicate significant support and resistance.

2) Total Transaction Difference: Buy transactions indicate bullish sentiment; sell transactions indicate bearish sentiment.

Experience it now: https://www.aicoin.com/vip

Specific usage: “The Secret to Retail Investors' Comeback”

3. Liquidation Statistics

• Bearish Signal: During an uptrend, if a large number of short positions are liquidated, the price is likely to retrace;

• Bullish Signal: During a downtrend, if a large number of long positions are liquidated, the price is likely to rebound.

Select a trading pair and time frame, then set a threshold, for example, Binance BTC/USDT perpetual, 30-minute time frame, with long or short liquidations ≥ 40 BTC, and then use custom indicators for alert monitoring.

Auxiliary indicators: RSI or KDJ's J line overbought/oversold

Subscribe to the same liquidation alert strategy: https://www.aicoin.com/link/script-share/details?shareHash=4mP9Wex0AZR5kxey

4. Moving Averages

• Usage 1: Break above the moving average indicates bullish; break below the moving average indicates bearish;

• Usage 2: Failing to break above the moving average indicates a pullback; failing to break below the moving average indicates a rebound.

For specific moving average usage, please read: “The Moving Average Game: From Candlesticks to Wealth Transformation”

5. MACD (King of Indicators)

1) Line Divergence: Compare the DIF line

2) Histogram Divergence or Hidden Divergence

Hidden Divergence Concept: ① Hidden Top Divergence: Price makes a new high, but the MACD volume histogram is bearish; ② Hidden Bottom Divergence: Price makes a new low, but the MACD volume histogram is bullish.

3) Insufficient Momentum

Concept: The MACD fast and slow lines approach the zero axis, but the DEA line is supported at the zero axis (does not break the zero axis), and then diverges again. When the DEA line is far from the zero axis, the MACD bullish volume histogram is lower than the previous low, while the price has not made a new high, indicating insufficient upward momentum. The same applies to insufficient downward momentum. Generally, insufficient momentum will lead to the MACD fast and slow lines crossing the zero axis (trend change).

For more tools and usage, feel free to join 【PRO CLUB】 to discuss with the editor~

The above content is for sharing purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice!

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